Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Manisa F.K. to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 51% · ✓ 7 goals
In short
Manisa F.K. are slight favourites at 41%, with Muğlaspor on 33% and the draw on 26%. Manisa F.K. are 14th and Muğlaspor 13th in the Turkish 1. Lig. Neither side has won any of their last five league games.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Manisa F.K. win or draw
- 67%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Muğlaspor win or draw
- 59%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Manisa F.K. and 1.3 from Muğlaspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 26% | 33% | Stats preview | #132 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Manisa F.K.: last 6
DLLDLL · 7 scored, 12 conceded
| 15 Oct | vs Esenler Erokspor | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Kayserispor | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs İstanbulspor | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Fatih Karagümrük | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Bursaspor | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Sep | at Iğdır FK | 2–4 | L |
Last 5 at home: DLLDW
Muğlaspor: last 6
LDDDDW · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 15 Oct | vs Bursaspor | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Fatih Karagümrük | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Iğdır FK | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | at Sivasspor | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Vanspor FK | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | at Ümraniyespor | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: DDWDL
Season stats
| Manisa F.K. | Muğlaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 0.90 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per game | 1.10 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game away | 0.60 |
| 60% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| 80% | Both teams scored | 40% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 40% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bursaspor | 11 | +13 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 | WDWDD |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | +4 | 18 | LWWLL |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | -22 | 1 | LLLLD |
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Manisa F.K. won 0, Muğlaspor 1, 0 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 | Manisa F.K. | 0–2 | Muğlaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
Match context
- Rest days
- Manisa F.K. 3Muğlaspor 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Manisa F.K. 2 · Muğlaspor 2
- Referee
- Ayberk Demirbas
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
