Bursaspor vs Pendikspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Bursaspor to win: 66%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60% · ✗ 2 goals
In short
Bursaspor are clear favourites at 66%, with Pendikspor on 15% and the draw on 19%. Bursaspor are 3rd and Pendikspor 16th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Bursaspor won three and Pendikspor one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Bursaspor win or draw
- 85%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 81%
- Pendikspor win or draw
- 34%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 60%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 2.2 goals from Bursaspor and 0.9 from Pendikspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Bursaspor: last 6
WLWDWW · 14 scored, 6 conceded
| 15 Oct | at Muğlaspor | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Mardin 1969 | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Batman Petrolspor | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Esenler Erokspor | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | at Manisa F.K. | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs İstanbulspor | 4–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: LDWW
Pendikspor: last 6
LLDDWL · 5 scored, 10 conceded
| 13 Oct | vs Vanspor FK | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Sivasspor | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Bodrum FK | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Boluspor | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Ümraniyespor | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | at Sarıyer | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LDLWL
Season stats
| Bursaspor | Pendikspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.20 |
| 0.90 | Goals conceded per game | 1.90 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 80% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 80% |
| 40% | Clean sheets | 10% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 10% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 12 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Iğdır FK | 12 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 11 | +13 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 | WDWDD |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| … | |||||
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | +3 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
Match context
- Rest days
- Bursaspor 4Pendikspor 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Bursaspor 2 · Pendikspor 2
- Referee
- Melek Dakan
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
