İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Antalyaspor to win: 45%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52% · ✗ 2 goals
In short
Antalyaspor are favourites at 45%, with İstanbulspor on 28% and the draw on 27%. İstanbulspor are 19th and Antalyaspor 8th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, İstanbulspor won one and Antalyaspor three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- İstanbulspor win or draw
- 55%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Antalyaspor win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.2 goals from İstanbulspor and 1.6 from Antalyaspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28% | 27% | 45% | Stats preview | #53 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
İstanbulspor: last 6
LLWLLL · 4 scored, 15 conceded
| 14 Oct | at Batman Petrolspor | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Esenler Erokspor | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Manisa F.K. | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Kayserispor | 0–4 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Iğdır FK | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Sep | at Bursaspor | 0–4 | L |
Last 4 at home: LLDD
Antalyaspor: last 6
LWWWLW · 8 scored, 7 conceded
| 14 Oct | vs Kayserispor | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Boluspor | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Vanspor FK | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Ümraniyespor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Sivasspor | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Sep | at Bandırmaspor | 1–0 | W |
Last 4 away: WWWL
Season stats
| İstanbulspor | Antalyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.90 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 2.40 | Goals conceded per game | 1.70 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.83 |
| 0.83 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 70% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 30% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 20% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 | WDWDD |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | +4 | 18 | LWWLL |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | +1 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | -3 | 16 | LDLDW |
| … | |||||
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | -22 | 1 | LLLLD |
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: İstanbulspor won 0, Antalyaspor 2, 3 draws; 3.6 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2024 | Antalyaspor | 2–2 | İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
| 30 Sep 2023 | İstanbulspor | 1–2 | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 3 Aug 2023 | İstanbulspor | 1–1 | Antalyaspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| 19 Apr 2023 | İstanbulspor | 3–3 | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 21 Oct 2022 | Antalyaspor | 2–1 | İstanbulspor | Süper Lig |
Match context
- Rest days
- İstanbulspor 4Antalyaspor 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: İstanbulspor 2 · Antalyaspor 2
- Referee
- Burak Demirkiran
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
