Hibernian vs Celtic prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Celtic to win: 61%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a Celtic victory, with the dressing room and coach giving the strongest backing to the visitors. All analysts agree that the match is likely to feature multiple goals, aligning with the high goal frequency data.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Celtic's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCeltic's high scoring rate and strong away form suggest they will dictate the tempo of the match.
Celtic average 2.56 goals per game and 2.50 away. Hibernian average 1.00 goals per game and concede 1.56 per game.
Celtic: slightly underrated
More goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe significant gap between the league leaders and mid-table Hibernian heavily favours the visitors.
Celtic sit 1st with 24 points from 9 games. Hibernian are 12th with 7 points from 9 games. Celtic have a much better recent form record.
Celtic: strongly underrated
High The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market correctly identifies Celtic as the favourite, but Hibernian's home scoring record is surprisingly resilient.
In the last 6 H2H matches, Celtic won 4 times. Hibernian has scored 0.80 goals per game at home.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Celtic are clear favourites at 61%, with Hibernian on 18% and the draw on 21%. Hibernian are 12th and Celtic 1st in the Scottish Premiership. In their last five league games, Hibernian won none and Celtic four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Hibernian win or draw
- 39%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Celtic win or draw
- 82%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 59%
- No
- 41%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Hibernian and 2.1 from Celtic. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–2 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 1–3 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18% | 21% | 61% | Stats preview | #975 | |
| 2 | 17% | 20% | 63% | Prices moved | #1319 | |
| 3 | 18% | 20% | 61% | Prices moved | #1381 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Hibernian: last 6
LLDLLL · 4 scored, 10 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Falkirk | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Dundee Utd | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Aberdeen | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | vs Kilmarnock | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | at ST Johnstone | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Sep | vs Heart Of Midlothian | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: LDLLL
Celtic: last 6
LWLWLL · 12 scored, 11 conceded
| 22 Oct | vs Celta Vigo UEFA Europa League | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Heart Of Midlothian | 7–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Benfica UEFA Europa League | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Motherwell | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Ferencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 away: LWWWL
Season stats
| Hibernian | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.56 |
| 1.56 | Goals conceded per game | 0.56 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game at home | 2.60 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 2.50 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 78% | Both teams scored | 44% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 44% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 11% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Scottish Premiership table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 10 | +19 | 27 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | +10 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 10 | +7 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | +0 | 15 | WDWWD |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | -1 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Motherwell | 10 | -7 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | -13 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 12 | Hibernian | 10 | -6 | 7 | LLLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Hibernian won 1, Celtic 4, 1 draw; 2.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Hibernian | 1–2 | Celtic | Premiership |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Celtic | 1–2 | Hibernian | Premiership |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Hibernian | 1–2 | Celtic | Premiership |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Celtic | 0–0 | Hibernian | Premiership |
| 10 May 2025 | Celtic | 3–1 | Hibernian | Premiership |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Celtic | 2–0 | Hibernian | FA Cup |
Match context
- Rest days
- Hibernian 7Celtic 2
- Matches in the last 14 days: Hibernian 1 · Celtic 3
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
