Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Nueva Chicago to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 61% · bookies 61% · ✓ 1 goals
In short
Nueva Chicago are slight favourites at 41%, with Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) on 28% and the draw on 31%. Nueva Chicago are 16th and Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) 4th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Nueva Chicago won one and Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Nueva Chicago win or draw
- 72%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 69%
- Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) win or draw
- 59%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 66%
- 3+ goals
- 39%
- 4+ goals
- 19%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 45%
- No
- 55%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Nueva Chicago and 1.0 from Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 0–0 (11%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 30% | 27% | Stats preview | #62 | |
| 2 | 42% | 30% | 28% | Updated news and prices | #105 | |
| 3 | 41% | 31% | 28% | Updated news and prices | #191 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Nueva Chicago: last 6
LLWDLW · 4 scored, 5 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Temperley | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Oct | vs Deportivo Maipu | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Almagro | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | vs Patronato | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Colegiales | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Quilmes | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDWLW
Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy): last 6
DLDDWW · 10 scored, 9 conceded
| 11 Oct | vs Gimnasia Y Tiro | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Temperley | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs San Martin Tucuman | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Deportivo Maipu | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Atletico DE Rafaela | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Almagro | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LDWDL
Season stats
| Nueva Chicago | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Goals scored per game | 1.52 |
| 0.97 | Goals conceded per game | 1.27 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.88 |
| 0.47 | Scored per game away | 1.12 |
| 24% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| 30% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 18% |
| 52% | Failed to score | 18% |
League matches only, 33 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 35 | +18 | 63 | DWDDW |
| 2 | Temperley | 34 | +13 | 60 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 34 | +9 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 4 | Atlanta | 34 | +7 | 58 | LWWWD |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 34 | +6 | 52 | WDLWL |
| 6 | Midland | 34 | +11 | 51 | LWDLW |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Agropecuario | 34 | -11 | 40 | LWDLW |
| 15 | Patronato | 34 | -4 | 37 | LWLWD |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | -9 | 36 | WLWLW |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | -9 | 36 | LLLWD |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 34 | -32 | 26 | WLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Nueva Chicago won 2, Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) 3, 1 draw; 2.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2026 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 4–0 | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Nueva Chicago | 1–0 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | Primera Nacional |
| 10 May 2025 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 2–1 | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| 27 Jul 2022 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 2–0 | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| 10 Feb 2019 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | 1–2 | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| 2 Dec 2017 | Nueva Chicago | 1–1 | Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) | Primera Nacional |
Match context
- Travel for Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy)
- 1,337 km
- Rest days
- Nueva Chicago 6Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Nueva Chicago 2 · Gimnasia y Esgrima (Jujuy) 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 16°C · wind 4 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Juan Pablo Loustau
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.94 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
