Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Chaco For Ever to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 71% · bookies 71% · ✗ 3 goals
In short
Chaco For Ever are favourites at 48%, with Central Norte on 20% and the draw on 32%. Chaco For Ever are 10th and Central Norte 16th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Chaco For Ever won two and Central Norte none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Chaco For Ever win or draw
- 80%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 68%
- Central Norte win or draw
- 52%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 56%
- 3+ goals
- 29%
- 4+ goals
- 12%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 34%
- No
- 66%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Chaco For Ever and 0.7 from Central Norte. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (18%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 0–0 (15%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 31% | 19% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #41 | |
| 2 | 46% | 33% | 21% | Prices moved | #146 | |
| 3 | 47% | 32% | 20% | Updated news and prices | #156 | |
| 4 | 48% | 32% | 20% | Official lineups | #216 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 4 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Chaco For Ever: last 6
WDLWDW · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Deportivo Madryn | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Defensores De Belgrano | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Ciudad de Bolívar | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Almirante Brown | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Atletico Mitre | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs CA Estudiantes | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: DWWWW
Central Norte: last 6
DDDLDD · 2 scored, 3 conceded
| 11 Oct | vs Ferro Carril Oeste | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Racing Cordoba | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Deportivo Madryn | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Defensores De Belgrano | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Ciudad de Bolívar | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Almirante Brown | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: DDDDL
Season stats
| Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Goals scored per game | 0.64 |
| 1.03 | Goals conceded per game | 0.91 |
| 1.31 | Scored per game at home | 0.71 |
| 0.65 | Scored per game away | 0.56 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 21% |
| 42% | Both teams scored | 39% |
| 36% | Clean sheets | 36% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 48% |
League matches only, 33 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 35 | -1 | 51 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 34 | +4 | 48 | DDLLL |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | +1 | 48 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 35 | +0 | 43 | WLWDL |
| 10 | Los Andes | 34 | +1 | 41 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | -10 | 40 | LWDDL |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 34 | -8 | 39 | WDWLL |
| 13 | Defensores De Belgrano | 34 | -7 | 38 | DLDLW |
| 14 | San Telmo | 35 | -12 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 15 | Central Norte | 34 | -8 | 37 | WDDDL |
| 16 | All Boys | 34 | -10 | 35 | DDLDD |
| 17 | Acassuso | 34 | -10 | 33 | DWLWW |
| 18 | San Miguel | 34 | -14 | 32 | LDLLD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Chaco For Ever won 2, Central Norte 1, 3 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | Central Norte | 1–1 | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Chaco For Ever | 1–1 | Central Norte | Friendlies Clubs |
| 3 Aug 2025 | Central Norte | 0–1 | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Chaco For Ever | 1–0 | Central Norte | Primera Nacional |
| 3 Oct 2021 | Central Norte | 2–0 | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A |
| 7 Jul 2021 | Chaco For Ever | 2–2 | Central Norte | Torneo Federal A |
Match context
- Rest days
- Chaco For Ever 7Central Norte 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Chaco For Ever 2 · Central Norte 1
- Referee
- Fernando Espinoza
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.94 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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