Ferro Carril Oeste vs Racing (Córdoba) prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Ferro Carril Oeste to win: 65%, about 2 in 3
Goals call2 goals or fewer 60% · bookies 60% · ✓ 1 goals
In short
Ferro Carril Oeste are clear favourites at 65%, with Racing (Córdoba) on 12% and the draw on 23%. Ferro Carril Oeste are 1st and Racing (Córdoba) 11th in Primera Nacional. In their last five league games, Ferro Carril Oeste won two and Racing (Córdoba) one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Ferro Carril Oeste win or draw
- 88%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Racing (Córdoba) win or draw
- 36%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 66%
- 3+ goals
- 40%
- 4+ goals
- 20%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 36%
- No
- 64%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.6 from Racing (Córdoba). (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63% | 24% | 13% | Stats preview | #75 | |
| 2 | 62% | 25% | 13% | Updated news and prices | #128 | |
| 3 | 64% | 23% | 12% | Official lineups | #200 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Ferro Carril Oeste: last 6
DLWWDD · 3 scored, 3 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Central Norte | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs Deportivo Madryn | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Defensores De Belgrano | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Ciudad de Bolívar | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Almirante Brown | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Atletico Mitre | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: LWDWW
Racing (Córdoba): last 6
WDDLLL · 5 scored, 10 conceded
| 12 Oct | vs Los Andes | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Central Norte | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Godoy Cruz | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Deportivo Madryn | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Deportivo Moron | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Defensores De Belgrano | 0–3 | L |
Last 5 away: DLLDL
Season stats
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Racing (Córdoba) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 0.91 |
| 0.85 | Goals conceded per game | 1.18 |
| 1.06 | Scored per game at home | 1.29 |
| 1.18 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| 39% | Both teams scored | 42% |
| 45% | Clean sheets | 30% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 39% |
League matches only, 33 games each.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 35 | +7 | 65 | LWDLW |
| 2 | Godoy Cruz | 34 | +16 | 60 | WDWDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | +15 | 58 | LLWLL |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 35 | +20 | 57 | WDLWD |
| … | |||||
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | +1 | 48 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Chaco For Ever | 35 | +0 | 43 | WLWDL |
| 10 | Los Andes | 34 | +1 | 41 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Racing (Córdoba) | 34 | -10 | 40 | LWDDL |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 34 | -8 | 39 | WDWLL |
| 13 | Defensores De Belgrano | 34 | -7 | 38 | DLDLW |
| 14 | San Telmo | 35 | -12 | 38 | LDLWW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Ferro Carril Oeste won 2, Racing (Córdoba) 1, 3 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May 2026 | Racing (Córdoba) | 0–0 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| 2 Sep 2025 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2–2 | Racing (Córdoba) | Primera Nacional |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Racing (Córdoba) | 4–0 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| 1 Sep 2024 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2–0 | Racing (Córdoba) | Primera Nacional |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Racing (Córdoba) | 1–1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 3–1 | Racing (Córdoba) | Primera Nacional |
Match context
- Travel for Racing (Córdoba)
- 648 km
- Rest days
- Ferro Carril Oeste 6Racing (Córdoba) 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Ferro Carril Oeste 1 · Racing (Córdoba) 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 16°C · wind 7 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Bruno Amiconi
- Goals in this league
- Primera Nacional average: 1.94 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
