Angers vs Marseille prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Marseille to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60% · ✓ 7 goals
In short
Marseille are favourites at 46%, with Angers on 29% and the draw on 25%. Angers are 13th and Marseille 14th in Ligue 1. In their last five league games, Angers won two and Marseille one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Angers win or draw
- 54%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Marseille win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 60%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Angers and 1.8 from Marseille. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 2–1 (7%), 0–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Angers: last 6
LWDLWL · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 10 Oct | at Stade Brestois 29 | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Estac Troyes | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Le Havre | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Rennes | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Auxerre | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Lille | 0–2 | L |
Last 4 at home: WLLD
Marseille: last 6
LWLLLL · 6 scored, 11 conceded
| 15 Oct | vs Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Estac Troyes | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Paris Saint Germain | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | at Beşiktaş UEFA Europa League | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Sep | at Rennes | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Paris FC | 2–3 | L |
Last 5 away: WLLLW
Season stats
| Angers | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 1.67 | Goals conceded per game | 1.33 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.33 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 33% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Ligue 1 table
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Angers won 0, Marseille 4, 2 draws; 3.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Angers | 2–5 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Marseille | 2–2 | Angers | Ligue 1 |
| 9 Feb 2025 | Angers | 0–2 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| 4 Oct 2024 | Marseille | 1–1 | Angers | Ligue 1 |
| 14 May 2023 | Marseille | 3–1 | Angers | Ligue 1 |
| 30 Sep 2022 | Angers | 0–3 | Marseille | Ligue 1 |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- Susp.J. LefortSuspended
- OutO. CamaraThigh
- OutD. CorneliusHip
- OutP. HojbjergMuscle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Marseille
- 655 km
- Rest days
- Angers 7Marseille 2
- Matches in the last 14 days: Angers 1 · Marseille 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 13°C · wind 10 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Jeremie Pignard
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 1 average: 2.93 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
