Levante vs Athletic Club prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Athletic Club to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51% · ✗ 4 goals
In short
Athletic Club are favourites at 46%, with Levante on 26% and the draw on 28%. Levante are 17th and Athletic Club 11th in LaLiga. In their last five league games, Levante won none and Athletic Club two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Levante win or draw
- 54%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Athletic Club win or draw
- 75%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Levante and 1.5 from Athletic Club. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Levante: last 6
DDLLDW · 12 scored, 13 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Deportivo La Coruna | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Sevilla | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Villarreal | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Barcelona | 2–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Malaga | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Real Betis | 5–2 | W |
Last 3 at home: DLW
Athletic Club: last 6
DDDWWL · 6 scored, 3 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Valencia | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Alaves | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Elche | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Atletico Madrid | 3–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | at Celta Vigo | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | at Barcelona | 0–2 | L |
Last 3 away: DWL
Season stats
| Levante | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 0.86 |
| 3.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 0.40 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 62% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 29% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 57% |
| 38% | Failed to score | 43% |
League matches only, 8 and 7 games.
LaLiga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | +0 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | -2 | 14 | LDLWW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | +3 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 9 | Villarreal | 10 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 9 | +3 | 11 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | +0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 9 | -8 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Levante | 9 | -2 | 10 | WDDLL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | -8 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Levante won 0, Athletic Club 4, 2 draws; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Athletic Club | 4–2 | Levante | La Liga |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Levante | 0–2 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 7 Mar 2022 | Athletic Club | 3–1 | Levante | La Liga |
| 19 Nov 2021 | Levante | 0–0 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 4 Mar 2021 | Levante | 1–2 | Athletic Club | Copa del Rey |
| 26 Feb 2021 | Levante | 1–1 | Athletic Club | La Liga |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutE. BardeliMuscle
- OutDelaOverload
- OutA. DjaloIllness
- OutU. EgiluzKnee
- OutG. GuruzetaKnee
Show 1 more
- OutO. SancetMuscle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Levante 4Athletic Club 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Levante 2 · Athletic Club 1
- Referee
- Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
