Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Fulham to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 59% · bookies 59%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three see goals: the coach points to Fulham's 9 home goals and Palace's 12 conceded away, the sceptic adds a head-to-head averaging 3.0 per game. The split is on the winner - the coach and dressing room lean Fulham on freshness and home form, while the sceptic respects Palace's 5 wins in 6 in this fixture.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Dressing Room thinks Fulham are underrated; The Sceptic thinks Crystal Palace are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersFulham's home scoring meets a Palace defence leaking heavily on the road
Fulham have scored 9 in their last 5 at home, while Palace have conceded 12 in their last 5 away. Palace's away run reads D L L D W, and both teams score sits at 59%. Expect Fulham to carry the greater threat, but Palace's 1.2 expected goals suggests they can chip in.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureFulham's fresher legs and steadier run edge a congested cup tie
Fulham have had 4 days' rest with 2 games in 14 days; Palace have 3 days and 4 games in 14 days, a heavier load. The cup gives both a genuine prize, but fatigue may blunt the visitors.
Fulham: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may underplay Palace's head-to-head stranglehold
Palace have won 5 of the last 6 against Fulham, including 2-3 and 1-2 at Fulham in 2026, at 3.0 goals per game. Yet the prices make Fulham 53% favourites. That record argues for a smaller home edge and a higher chance of goals than the 59% over line implies.
Crystal Palace: clearly underrated
More goalsMed Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Fulham are favourites at 53%, with Crystal Palace on 24% and the draw on 23%. In their last five matches across all competitions, Fulham won three and Crystal Palace one. The prices point to about 3.0 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Fulham win or draw
- 76%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Crystal Palace win or draw
- 47%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 36%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 59%
- No
- 41%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Fulham and 1.2 from Crystal Palace. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 1–2 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53% | 23% | 24% | Stats preview | #1683 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Fulham: last 6
WWLDWD · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Coventry Premier League | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Hull City Premier League | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Ipswich Premier League | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Manchester United Premier League | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Sep | at West Ham | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Liverpool Premier League | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: WDLWL
Crystal Palace: last 6
LDLLWD · 7 scored, 13 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Newcastle Premier League | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | at Beşiktaş UEFA Europa League | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Brighton Premier League | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Oct | at Lyon UEFA Europa League | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest Premier League | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Leeds Premier League | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: DLLDW
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Fulham won 0, Crystal Palace 5, 1 draw; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Fulham | 2–3 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Fulham | 1–2 | Crystal Palace | Friendlies Clubs |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1–1 | Fulham | Premier League |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Fulham | 1–2 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Fulham | 0–3 | Crystal Palace | FA Cup |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Fulham | 0–2 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Match context
- Stadium
- Craven Cottage, London
- 29,589 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Fulham 4Crystal Palace 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Fulham 2 · Crystal Palace 4
- Coaches
- Álvaro Arbeloa
- Fulham, since Aug 2026
- P. Sage
- Crystal Palace, since Jul 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
