Standard Liege vs Kortrijk prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Standard Liege to win: 57%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The over 2.5 line sits near 58%, supported by Standard's 67% over rate and the competition's 3.19 goals per match, though Kortrijk's 0.25 goals per game keeps the totals case modest rather than strong.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 2 think Standard Liege's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersStandard's home scoring against Kortrijk's away drought points to a home win with goals.
Standard score 1.25 per game at home and concede 1.67 overall, while Kortrijk average 0.00 away and have failed to score in 75% of league matches. Both teams score in 67% of Standard's games, and the competition averages 3.19 goals per match, so an open home win fits the numbers.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureA struggling Standard host a Kortrijk side rooted to the bottom with nothing but pressure.
Standard sit 9th on 11 points from 9 games, while Kortrijk are 18th with just 3 points from 8 and seven defeats. Kortrijk have lost all four away games, conceding 10, and arrive after 20 days without a match. The gap in stakes and run of results favours the hosts.
Standard Liege: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Standard Liege are favourites at 57%, with Kortrijk on 20% and the draw on 23%. Standard Liege are 9th and Kortrijk 18th in the Belgian Pro League. In their last five league games, Standard Liege won one and Kortrijk one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Standard Liege win or draw
- 80%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Kortrijk win or draw
- 43%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Standard Liege and 1.1 from Kortrijk. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71% | 18% | 12% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1768 | |
| 2 | 57% | 23% | 20% | Prices moved | #2095 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Standard Liege: last 6
LWLLLW · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Genk | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Dender Cup | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Charleroi | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Gent | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at KVC Westerlo | 2–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Antwerp | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWWD
Kortrijk: last 6
LWLLLL · 2 scored, 12 conceded
| 10 Oct | at Genk | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs SK Beveren | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at RAAL La Louvière | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Zulte Waregem | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Sep | at Anderlecht | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Charleroi | 1–3 | L |
Last 4 away: LLLL
Season stats
| Standard Liege | Kortrijk | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | Goals scored per game | 0.25 |
| 1.67 | Goals conceded per game | 2.25 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 0.50 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game away | 0.00 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 12% |
| 22% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 11% | Failed to score | 75% |
League matches only, 9 and 8 games.
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Genk | 9 | +5 | 15 | WWLDD |
| 7 | KVC Westerlo | 9 | +3 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Lommel United | 9 | +0 | 12 | DWDLL |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 9 | -1 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Antwerp | 9 | -5 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 9 | -6 | 10 | DLLWW |
| … | |||||
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 8 | -8 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 9 | -8 | 6 | DDWDL |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 9 | -10 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 8 | -16 | 3 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Standard Liege 6Kortrijk 20
- Matches in the last 14 days: Standard Liege 1 · Kortrijk 0
- Goals in this league
- Belgian Pro League average: 3.19 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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