Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Anderlecht to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 68% · bookies 68%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean towards an Anderlecht win around the published 62%, with the coach and dressing room both seeing reasons for home confidence despite recent stumbles.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think KVC Westerlo's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make KVC Westerlo favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersWesterlo's attack meets Anderlecht's blunt home scoring - goals look likely
Anderlecht score just 1.00 per game overall, so this shapes up as Westerlo doing most of the attacking damage.
KVC Westerlo: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureAnderlecht's wobble in form meets a Westerlo side brimming with confidence
Anderlecht sit 5th on 16 points but have lost three of their last six, including a heavy 0-4 at Gent. Westerlo are 7th, just two points back, unbeaten in five and with an extra rest day. Pressure is on the home side to respond in front of their own fans.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home win price looks right, but the goals line may be a touch high
Anderlecht's 62% is fair given their home record of W L D W W with 8 scored and 2 conceded. But Westerlo's 24-21 goal record shows a leaky defence, and Anderlecht games go over 2.5 only 56% of the time with both teams scoring just 22%. The 68% over looks slightly generous.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Anderlecht are clear favourites at 62%, with KVC Westerlo on 18% and the draw on 20%. Anderlecht are 5th and KVC Westerlo 7th in the Belgian Pro League. In their last five league games, Anderlecht won three and KVC Westerlo four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Anderlecht win or draw
- 82%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- KVC Westerlo win or draw
- 38%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 68%
- 4+ goals
- 46%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 62%
- No
- 38%
We expect about 2.3 goals from Anderlecht and 1.2 from KVC Westerlo. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 22% | 31% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1769 | |
| 2 | 62% | 20% | 18% | Prices moved | #2094 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Anderlecht: last 6
LWLLWW · 9 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Gent | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Oct | at Jagiellonia UEFA Europa League | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Beerschot VA Cup | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | at Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Cercle Brugge | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Zulte Waregem | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLDWW
KVC Westerlo: last 6
DWWWWW · 21 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs SK Beveren | 4–4 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs Patro Eisden Cup | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Antwerp | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at St. Truiden | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Standard Liege | 4–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | at KV Mechelen | 4–0 | W |
Last 4 away: WWLL
Season stats
| Anderlecht | KVC Westerlo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.67 |
| 1.11 | Goals conceded per game | 2.33 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 3.20 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 89% |
| 22% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 44% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 11% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 9 | +16 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Union St. Gilloise | 9 | +21 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Charleroi | 9 | +6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 9 | -1 | 16 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Genk | 9 | +5 | 15 | WWLDD |
| 7 | KVC Westerlo | 9 | +3 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Lommel United | 9 | +0 | 12 | DWDLL |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 9 | -1 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLLW |
Match context
- Travel for KVC Westerlo
- 50 km
- Rest days
- Anderlecht 6KVC Westerlo 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Anderlecht 3 · KVC Westerlo 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 9°C · wind 11 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Belgian Pro League average: 3.19 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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