Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Charleroi to win: 65%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
In short
Charleroi are clear favourites at 65%, with RAAL La Louvière on 14% and the draw on 21%. Charleroi are 4th and RAAL La Louvière 14th in the Belgian Pro League. In their last five league games, Charleroi won three and RAAL La Louvière two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Charleroi win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- RAAL La Louvière win or draw
- 35%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Charleroi and 0.8 from RAAL La Louvière. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 17% | 15% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1800 | |
| 2 | 65% | 21% | 14% | Prices moved | #2178 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Charleroi: last 6
LWWWWL · 8 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Antwerp | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Albert Quévy-Mons Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Standard Liege | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Cercle Brugge | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Zulte Waregem | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Union St. Gilloise | 2–3 | L |
Last 4 at home: WLWW
RAAL La Louvière: last 6
WWLLWL · 11 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Zulte Waregem | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Liège Cup | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Club Brugge KV | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | at OH Leuven | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Kortrijk | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | at St. Truiden | 0–4 | L |
Last 4 away: LLLL
Season stats
| Charleroi | RAAL La Louvière | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | Goals scored per game | 1.22 |
| 1.11 | Goals conceded per game | 2.00 |
| 2.50 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 0.25 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 78% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 44% |
| 44% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 11% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 9 | +15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 9 | +16 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Union St. Gilloise | 9 | +21 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Charleroi | 9 | +6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 9 | -1 | 16 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Genk | 9 | +5 | 15 | WWLDD |
| 7 | KVC Westerlo | 9 | +3 | 14 | DWWWW |
| … | |||||
| 11 | Antwerp | 9 | -5 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 9 | -6 | 10 | DLLWW |
| 13 | St. Truiden | 9 | -2 | 8 | LLLLW |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 9 | -7 | 7 | WLLWL |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 8 | -8 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 9 | -8 | 6 | DDWDL |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 9 | -10 | 3 | LLLDL |
Match context
- Travel for RAAL La Louvière
- 20 km
- Rest days
- Charleroi 8RAAL La Louvière 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Charleroi 1 · RAAL La Louvière 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 7°C · wind 9 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Belgian Pro League average: 3.19 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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