Lommel United vs Gent prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Gent to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
In short
Gent are favourites at 53%, with Lommel United on 22% and the draw on 25%. Lommel United are 8th and Gent 1st in the Belgian Pro League. In their last five league games, Lommel United won one and Gent four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Lommel United win or draw
- 47%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Gent win or draw
- 78%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Lommel United and 1.7 from Gent. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30% | 27% | 43% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1969 | |
| 2 | 22% | 25% | 53% | Prices moved | #2214 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Lommel United: last 6
DLWDLL · 6 scored, 13 conceded
| 24 Oct | at OH Leuven | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | at St. Truiden Cup | 1–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | at SK Beveren | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs KV Mechelen | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Union St. Gilloise | 0–5 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Club Brugge KV | 0–1 | L |
Last 4 at home: DLWL
Gent: last 6
WLDWWW · 12 scored, 6 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Anderlecht | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | at SC Braga UEFA Europa Conference League | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Rochefort Cup | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Aarhus UEFA Europa Conference League | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Zulte Waregem | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Standard Liege | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LDWDW
Season stats
| Lommel United | Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Goals scored per game | 2.11 |
| 1.22 | Goals conceded per game | 0.44 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.20 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 44% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 44% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 56% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 9 | +15 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 9 | +16 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Union St. Gilloise | 9 | +21 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Charleroi | 9 | +6 | 21 | LWWWL |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 9 | -1 | 16 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Genk | 9 | +5 | 15 | WWLDD |
| 7 | KVC Westerlo | 9 | +3 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Lommel United | 9 | +0 | 12 | DWDLL |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 9 | -1 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Antwerp | 9 | -5 | 10 | WLLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Lommel United 8Gent 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Lommel United 1 · Gent 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 8°C · wind 8 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Belgian Pro League average: 3.19 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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