St. Truiden vs OH Leuven prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
St. Truiden to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
In short
St. Truiden are clear favourites at 60%, with OH Leuven on 18% and the draw on 22%. St. Truiden are 13th and OH Leuven 16th in the Belgian Pro League. In their last five league games, St. Truiden won one and OH Leuven one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- St. Truiden win or draw
- 82%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- OH Leuven win or draw
- 40%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 39%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 2.1 goals from St. Truiden and 1.1 from OH Leuven. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59% | 20% | 21% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1968 | |
| 2 | 60% | 21% | 18% | Prices moved | #2215 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
St. Truiden: last 6
LWWWLL · 12 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Club Brugge KV | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | at FC Midtjylland UEFA Europa Conference League | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Lommel United Cup | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Europa Conference League | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at KV Mechelen | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs KVC Westerlo | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWLWL
OH Leuven: last 6
DWDWDL · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Lommel United | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Francs Borains Cup | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Union St. Gilloise | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs RAAL La Louvière | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Cercle Brugge | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | at SK Beveren | 0–3 | L |
Last 4 away: DLLL
Season stats
| St. Truiden | OH Leuven | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.89 | Goals scored per game | 0.89 |
| 2.11 | Goals conceded per game | 1.78 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 2.40 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 11% | Clean sheets | 11% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Zulte Waregem | 9 | -2 | 11 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Antwerp | 9 | -5 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 9 | -6 | 10 | DLLWW |
| 13 | St. Truiden | 9 | -2 | 8 | LLLLW |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 9 | -7 | 7 | WLLWL |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 8 | -8 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 9 | -8 | 6 | DDWDL |
| 17 | Cercle Brugge | 9 | -10 | 3 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 8 | -16 | 3 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Travel for OH Leuven
- 34 km
- Rest days
- St. Truiden 7OH Leuven 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: St. Truiden 3 · OH Leuven 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 8 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Belgian Pro League average: 3.19 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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