Parma vs Torino prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Torino to win: 40%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 61% · bookies 61% · ✗ 3 goals
In short
Torino are slight favourites at 40%, with Parma on 29% and the draw on 31%. Parma are 16th and Torino 14th in Serie A. In their last five league games, Parma won one and Torino two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Parma win or draw
- 60%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 69%
- Torino win or draw
- 71%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 66%
- 3+ goals
- 39%
- 4+ goals
- 19%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 45%
- No
- 55%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Parma and 1.2 from Torino. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–0 (11%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29% | 31% | 40% | Stats preview | #201 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Parma: last 6
LWLDLL · 4 scored, 11 conceded
| 10 Oct | at Inter | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Genoa | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Como | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Monza | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Cremonese Coppa Italia | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Juventus | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WDLLW
Torino: last 6
WDLWLL · 6 scored, 8 conceded
| 12 Oct | vs Udinese | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Bologna | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs AS Roma | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | at Fiorentina | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Monza Coppa Italia | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Sassuolo | 1–2 | L |
Last 3 away: DWL
Season stats
| Parma | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Goals scored per game | 1.17 |
| 1.67 | Goals conceded per game | 1.50 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 0.33 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 83% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 17% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Serie A table
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Parma won 1, Torino 3, 2 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | Torino | 4–1 | Parma | Serie A |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Parma | 2–1 | Torino | Serie A |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Parma | 2–2 | Torino | Serie A |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Torino | 0–0 | Parma | Serie A |
| 3 May 2021 | Torino | 1–0 | Parma | Serie A |
| 3 Jan 2021 | Parma | 0–3 | Torino | Serie A |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutP. AlmqvistCalf
- OutN. ElphegeIllness
- OutH. Nicolussi CavigliaThigh
Show 1 more
- OutL. ValentiCoach's decision
- OutN. FortiniThigh
- OutE. IlkhanMuscle
- OutF. IsraelShoulder
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Parma 9Torino 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Parma 1 · Torino 1
- Referee
- Giovanni Ayroldi
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
