Juventus vs Lazio prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Juventus to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 59% · bookies 51% · ✓ 3 goals
In short
Juventus are clear favourites at 60%, with Lazio on 17% and the draw on 23%. Juventus are 8th and Lazio 3rd in Serie A. In their last five league games, Juventus won two and Lazio four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Juventus win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Lazio win or draw
- 39%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 2.1 goals from Juventus and 1.0 from Lazio. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 23% | 15% | Stats preview | #63 | |
| 2 | 60% | 23% | 17% | Updated news and prices | #109 | |
| 3 | 61% | 23% | 17% | Official lineups | #187 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Juventus: last 6
WDWWLD · 13 scored, 6 conceded
| 15 Oct | at Celta Vigo UEFA Europa League | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Cagliari | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Atalanta | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | vs NEC Nijmegen UEFA Europa League | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Sassuolo | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs AC Milan | 1–1 | D |
Last 4 at home: WWDW
Lazio: last 6
WWDWWW · 11 scored, 4 conceded
| 11 Oct | vs Monza | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Venezia | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs AC Milan | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | at Udinese | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Genoa | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | at Bologna | 1–0 | W |
Last 3 away: WWW
Season stats
| Juventus | Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.83 |
| 0.83 | Goals conceded per game | 0.67 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 1.67 |
| 17% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Serie A table
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Juventus won 2, Lazio 2, 2 draws; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Juventus | 2–2 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Lazio | 1–0 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 10 May 2025 | Lazio | 1–1 | Juventus | Serie A |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Juventus | 1–0 | Lazio | Serie A |
| 23 Apr 2024 | Lazio | 2–1 | Juventus | Coppa Italia |
| 2 Apr 2024 | Juventus | 2–0 | Lazio | Coppa Italia |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutJ. EkhatorMuscle
- OutK. GrabaraKnee
- OutM. LocatelliKnee
Show 3 more
- OutA. MilikNot available
- OutK. ThuramKnee
- OutK. YildizFoot
- OutM. CancellieriLeg
- OutA. FurlanettoKnee
- OutA. GudmundssonShoulder
Show 2 more
- OutA. MarusicMuscle
- OutN. RovellaCalf
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Lazio
- 268 km
- Rest days
- Juventus 2Lazio 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Juventus 2 · Lazio 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 15°C · wind 5 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Davide Massa
- Goals in this league
- Serie A average: 2.94 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
