Real Valladolid vs Eldense prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Real Valladolid to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 52% · bookies 52% · ✗ 5 goals
In short
Real Valladolid are favourites at 50%, with Eldense on 23% and the draw on 27%. Real Valladolid are 11th and Eldense 15th in Segunda División. In their last five league games, Real Valladolid won two and Eldense three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Real Valladolid win or draw
- 77%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Eldense win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 26%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Real Valladolid and 1.0 from Eldense. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48% | 28% | 24% | Stats preview | #36 | |
| 2 | 50% | 27% | 23% | Updated news and prices | #89 | |
| 3 | 50% | 27% | 23% | Official lineups | #159 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Real Valladolid: last 6
WDWDLW · 12 scored, 7 conceded
| 12 Oct | vs Albacete | 5–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Las Palmas | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Cordoba | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at AD Ceuta FC | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Oviedo | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs FC Andorra | 1–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WWLW
Eldense: last 6
WWLLWD · 8 scored, 5 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Cordoba | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Oviedo | 4–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Burgos | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Eibar | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Sporting Gijon | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Mallorca | 0–0 | D |
Last 4 away: LWLL
Season stats
| Real Valladolid | Eldense | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Goals scored per game | 1.11 |
| 1.22 | Goals conceded per game | 1.22 |
| 2.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.80 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game away | 0.25 |
| 44% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 44% |
| 22% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 44% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Burgos | 10 | +3 | 17 | WLLWW |
| 10 | Sabadell | 11 | +2 | 17 | DLWDD |
| 11 | Cordoba | 11 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Eldense | 10 | +0 | 14 | WWWLL |
| 13 | Tenerife | 11 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Real Valladolid | 11 | +0 | 12 | LLWDW |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 11 | -5 | 12 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 18 | FC Andorra | 10 | -4 | 10 | LWDWL |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Real Valladolid won 2, Eldense 0, 0 draws; 1.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2024 | Real Valladolid | 1–0 | Eldense | Segunda División |
| 4 Oct 2023 | Eldense | 0–1 | Real Valladolid | Segunda División |
Match context
- Travel for Eldense
- 486 km
- Rest days
- Real Valladolid 6Eldense 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Real Valladolid 1 · Eldense 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 13°C · wind 24 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- J. Sanchez
- Goals in this league
- Segunda División average: 2.67 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
