RC Celta Fortuna vs Tenerife prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Wide open: no clear favourite (RC Celta Fortuna 35%)

RC Celta Fortuna35%Bookies 35

Draw30%Bookies 30

Tenerife35%Bookies 35

Goals call2 goals or fewer 55% · bookies 55% · ✓ 2 goals

! Drawn: we gave a draw 30% Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

In short

RC Celta Fortuna are slight favourites at 35%, with Tenerife on 35% and the draw on 30%. RC Celta Fortuna are 15th and Tenerife 13th in Segunda División. In their last five league games, RC Celta Fortuna won one and Tenerife one.

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Win or draw (double chance)

RC Celta Fortuna win or draw: 65%
Either team wins (no draw): 70%
Tenerife win or draw: 65%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 70%
3+ goals: 44%
4+ goals: 23%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 50%
No: 50%

We expect about 1.2 goals from RC Celta Fortuna and 1.2 from Tenerife. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%), 0–0 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	18 Oct 19:35	36%	29%	34%	Stats preview	#197
2	19 Oct 13:37	34%	30%	36%	Updated news and prices	#258
3	19 Oct 16:41	35%	30%	35%	Prices moved	#276

Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

RC Celta Fortuna: last 6

WLDLLW · 9 scored, 11 conceded

10 Oct	vs Real Sociedad II	4–1	W
4 Oct	at Sporting Gijon	2–3	L
26 Sep	vs Sabadell	1–1	D
20 Sep	at Almeria	0–2	L
14 Sep	vs Eibar	0–4	L
5 Sep	at AD Ceuta FC	2–0	W

Last 5 at home: WDLLW

Tenerife: last 6

DLDLWD · 7 scored, 11 conceded

12 Oct	vs Girona	1–1	D
5 Oct	at Cordoba	2–3	L
26 Sep	vs Cadiz	1–1	D
19 Sep	at Castellón	0–5	L
13 Sep	vs Leganes	2–0	W
5 Sep	at Real Sociedad II	1–1	D

Last 4 away: LLDW

Season stats

RC Celta Fortuna		Tenerife
1.56	Goals scored per game	1.22
1.67	Goals conceded per game	1.44
2.00	Scored per game at home	1.00
1.00	Scored per game away	1.50
56%	Matches over 2.5 goals	33%
56%	Both teams scored	56%
22%	Clean sheets	22%
33%	Failed to score	22%

League matches only, 9 games each.

Segunda División table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
10	Sabadell	11	+2	17	DLWDD
11	Cordoba	11	-3	15	WWLWL
12	Eldense	10	+0	14	WWWLL
13	Tenerife	11	-2	14	DDDLD
14	Las Palmas	11	-5	14	WLLDL
15	Valladolid	11	+0	12	LLWDW
16	RC Celta Fortuna	11	-5	12	LDWLD
17	Leganes	11	-9	12	DLLLL
18	FC Andorra	10	-4	10	LWDWL
19	Real Sociedad II	11	-8	8	LLLLL