Granada vs Cádiz prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Granada to win: 51%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51% · ✓ 2 goals
In short
Granada are favourites at 51%, with Cádiz on 22% and the draw on 27%. Granada are 10th and Cádiz 20th in Segunda División. In their last five league games, Granada won two and Cádiz one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Granada win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Cádiz win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Granada and 1.0 from Cádiz. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 27% | 22% | Stats preview | #29 | |
| 2 | 51% | 27% | 23% | Updated news and prices | #84 | |
| 3 | 50% | 27% | 22% | Official lineups | #123 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Granada: last 6
WWLLDL · 9 scored, 12 conceded
| 12 Oct | at Burgos | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Real Sociedad II | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs FC Andorra | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Leganes | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Albacete | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Eibar | 0–3 | L |
Last 3 at home: LDW
Cádiz: last 6
LWDLLL · 8 scored, 8 conceded
| 11 Oct | vs Sporting Gijon | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Leganes | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Girona | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Las Palmas | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Almeria | 2–3 | L |
Last 3 away: DLD
Season stats
| Granada | Cádiz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | Goals scored per game | 1.22 |
| 1.44 | Goals conceded per game | 1.22 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.67 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| 56% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 22% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | +14 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Eibar | 11 | +7 | 22 | LDLWW |
| 4 | Girona | 11 | +12 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Granada | 11 | +4 | 20 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Mallorca | 11 | +7 | 19 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | +2 | 19 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Oviedo | 11 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| … | |||||
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 18 | FC Andorra | 10 | -4 | 10 | LWDWL |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | -8 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Cádiz | 10 | -2 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 10 | -13 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | -16 | 1 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Granada won 1, Cádiz 2, 3 draws; 1.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | Cádiz | 2–0 | Granada | Friendlies Clubs |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Cádiz | 1–2 | Granada | Segunda División |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Granada | 0–0 | Cádiz | Segunda División |
| 26 Jul 2025 | Cádiz | 1–1 | Granada | Friendlies Clubs |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Cádiz | 1–0 | Granada | Segunda División |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Granada | 0–0 | Cádiz | Segunda División |
Match context
- Travel for Cádiz
- 192 km
- Rest days
- Granada 6Cádiz 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Granada 1 · Cádiz 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 19°C · wind 6 km/h
- Rain expected
- Referee
- R. Sanchez
- Goals in this league
- Segunda División average: 2.66 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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