Partick vs Stenhousemuir prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Partick to win: 65%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 51% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
The analysis suggests a tight match where Partick's home advantage is key, yet Stenhousemuir's league position and quality prevent a clear home dominance. The market leans towards Partick, but the strong form and competitive nature of the top two sides point towards a closely contested affair.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Stenhousemuir's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Stenhousemuir favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersPartick's home defensive solidity contrasts with Stenhousemuir's higher offensive output.
Partick has scored 1.20 goals per game at home and conceded only 0.36. Stenhousemuir averages 1.30 goals scored per game but concedes 0.50. Partick maintains a 64% clean sheet rate in this competition.
Stenhousemuir: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides are near the top of the table, making this a high-stakes encounter.
Stenhousemuir sits 1st with 23 points from 10 games, while Partick is 2nd with 22 points from 11 games. Partick has a 3-day rest, compared to Stenhousemuir's 7 days rest.
Stenhousemuir: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market heavily favors Partick, but Stenhousemuir's quality and H2H history suggest a closer contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Partick won 4 times. Partick's home form is strong, having scored 6 goals and conceded 0 in their last 5 home games.
Stenhousemuir: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Partick are clear favourites at 65%, with Stenhousemuir on 14% and the draw on 21%. Partick are 2nd and Stenhousemuir 1st in the Scottish Championship. In their last five league games, Partick won three and Stenhousemuir three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Partick win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Stenhousemuir win or draw
- 34%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 46%
- No
- 54%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Partick and 0.8 from Stenhousemuir. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Partick: last 6
DWWWDL · 7 scored, 3 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Dunfermline | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | at Ayr Utd | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Livingston | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Arbroath | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Raith Rovers | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Sep | at Stenhousemuir | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: WDWDW
Stenhousemuir: last 6
DLWWWW · 5 scored, 3 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Raith Rovers | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Inverness CT | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Sep | at Ayr Utd | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Arbroath | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Partick | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | at Livingston | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LWWWD
Season stats
| Partick | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Goals scored per game | 1.30 |
| 0.36 | Goals conceded per game | 0.50 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 18% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 10% |
| 27% | Both teams scored | 30% |
| 64% | Clean sheets | 60% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 10% |
League matches only, 11 and 10 games.
Scottish Championship table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 12 | +11 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 11 | +5 | 23 | LDLWW |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 12 | +7 | 21 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 12 | +5 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 11 | +3 | 18 | WDDDW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Partick won 4, Stenhousemuir 1, 1 draw; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | Stenhousemuir | 1–0 | Partick | Championship |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Partick | 2–2 | Stenhousemuir | League Cup |
| 9 Jul 2022 | Stenhousemuir | 1–2 | Partick | League Cup |
| 17 Jul 2021 | Stenhousemuir | 1–2 | Partick | League Cup |
| 16 Nov 2019 | Stenhousemuir | 1–4 | Partick | Challenge Cup |
| 14 Jul 2018 | Stenhousemuir | 0–2 | Partick | League Cup |
Match context
- Rest days
- Partick 3Stenhousemuir 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Partick 2 · Stenhousemuir 1
- Referee
- C. Scott
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
