Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Sheffield Wednesday to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 57% · bookies 57%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysis suggests a highly competitive fixture where the attacking statistics of both sides are key. While Sheffield Wednesday has a strong home record, Cambridge United's higher league standing and BTTS frequency make the match unpredictable, likely featuring multiple goals.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Cambridge United's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersSheffield Wednesday's home attack is potent, while Cambridge United's high BTTS rate suggests an open game.
SW scores 2.40 per game at home and has 5 goals in the 76-90 period. CU has a 92% BTTS rate and scores 6 goals in the 76-90 period.
Cambridge: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureCambridge United holds a slight advantage in points and recent form over Sheffield Wednesday.
Cambridge United sit 6th with 20 points from 12 games, compared to Sheffield Wednesday's 8th place with 18 points from 11 games. Both sides have 3 days rest.
Cambridge: strongly underrated
High The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market overvalues Sheffield Wednesday's home advantage given their recent inconsistent form.
H2H results show Sheffield Wednesday winning 3 of the last 5 encounters. However, the market gives them 48% probability despite recent losses at Doncaster and Notts County.
Cambridge: clearly underrated
Med Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Sheffield Wednesday are favourites at 48%, with Cambridge United on 27% and the draw on 25%. Sheffield Wednesday are 8th and Cambridge United 6th in the League One. In their last five league games, Sheffield Wednesday won one and Cambridge United two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Sheffield Wednesday win or draw
- 72%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Cambridge United win or draw
- 52%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 57%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 59%
- No
- 41%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Sheffield Wednesday and 1.3 from Cambridge United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 1–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48% | 25% | 28% | Stats preview | #1707 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Sheffield Wednesday: last 6
LLWDWW · 11 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Doncaster | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | at Notts County | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs AFC Wimbledon | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Huddersfield | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Sunderland U21 EFL Trophy | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | at Salford City EFL Trophy | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWDDW
Cambridge United: last 6
LDWWWD · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Plymouth | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Wycombe | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Barnsley | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Blackpool | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Northampton EFL Trophy | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs AFC Wimbledon | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: WWDDW
Season stats
| Sheffield Wednesday | Cambridge United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | Goals scored per game | 1.67 |
| 1.09 | Goals conceded per game | 1.42 |
| 2.40 | Scored per game at home | 1.71 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 1.60 |
| 55% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 45% | Both teams scored | 92% |
| 27% | Clean sheets | 8% |
| 45% | Failed to score | 0% |
| 2.09 | Yellow cards per game | 1.92 |
League matches only, 11 and 12 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Sheffield Wednesday | Cambridge United |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | +5 | 22 | DDWDD |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | +2 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | +12 | 21 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 12 | +3 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Oxford United | 10 | +8 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 11 | +8 | 18 | LLWDD |
| 9 | Mansfield Town | 11 | +4 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | +2 | 17 | WWLWL |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | -1 | 17 | WDDLL |
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Sheffield Wednesday won 3, Cambridge United 1, 1 draw; 3.6 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday | 5–0 | Cambridge United | League One |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Cambridge United | 0–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| 12 Mar 2022 | Sheffield Wednesday | 6–0 | Cambridge United | League One |
| 19 Oct 2021 | Cambridge United | 1–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | League One |
| 9 Aug 2016 | Cambridge United | 2–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | League Cup |
Match context
- Stadium
- Hillsborough, Sheffield
- 39,814 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Sheffield Wednesday 3Cambridge United 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Sheffield Wednesday 3 · Cambridge United 3
- Coaches
- H. Pedersen
- Sheffield Wednesday, since Jul 2025
- N. Harris
- Cambridge United, since Feb 2025
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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