Oxford United vs Stockport County prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Stockport to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 56% · bookies 56%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The table puts the visitors 2nd in the Automatic promotion places, their away form is strong, and the expected goals split 1.7 to 1.2 backs that. On goals, the readings cluster near the published 56% for over 2.5, with both teams' scoring rates and Oxford's late-goal habit keeping a third goal live.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 2 think Stockport County's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersStockport's away solidity meets Oxford's late-game habit
Oxford score late: 8 of their 18 goals came in minutes 76-90, and they concede 4 in the same spell. Stockport peak either side of half-time, with 7 goals in 16-30 and 6 in 46-60. Their away defence has let in just 1 in the last 5.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSecond hosts seventh with play-off points on the line
Stockport sit 2nd on 23 points from 12 games, inside the Automatic promotion places. Oxford are 7th on 19 points from 10 games, unbeaten in the league in 6 with just one defeat. Both have 3 games in 14 days, so neither has a rest edge.
Stockport: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Stockport County are favourites at 48%, with Oxford United on 28% and the draw on 24%. Oxford United are 7th and Stockport County 2nd in the League One. In their last five league games, Oxford United won two and Stockport County four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Oxford United win or draw
- 52%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Stockport County win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Oxford United and 1.7 from Stockport County. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 2–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28% | 24% | 48% | Stats preview | #1679 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Oxford United: last 6
DWDWDD · 8 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Bradford | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Wigan | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Mansfield Town | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Notts County | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Exeter City EFL Trophy | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Cambridge United | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: DWDWD
Stockport County: last 6
DWWWWW · 10 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Notts County | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | at Doncaster | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Bromley | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Barnsley | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Shrewsbury EFL Trophy | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Peterborough | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: DWWDW
Season stats
| Oxford United | Stockport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | Goals scored per game | 2.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 2.33 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 1.67 |
| 70% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 70% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 30% | Clean sheets | 42% |
| 10% | Failed to score | 17% |
| 1.90 | Yellow cards per game | 1.08 |
League matches only, 10 and 12 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Oxford United | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | +13 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Stockport County | 12 | +12 | 23 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | +5 | 22 | DDWDD |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | +2 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | +12 | 21 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 12 | +3 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Oxford United | 10 | +8 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 11 | +8 | 18 | LLWDD |
| 9 | Mansfield Town | 11 | +4 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | +2 | 17 | WWLWL |
Match context
- Stadium
- The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
- 12,500 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Oxford United 3Stockport County 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Oxford United 3 · Stockport County 3
- Coaches
- A. Ramsey
- Oxford United, since Oct 2026
- J. McNulty
- Stockport County, since Aug 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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