Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Leicester to win: 70%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 66% · bookies 66%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a Leicester City victory, driven by their superior league position and home attacking statistics. All analysts agree that the match has a high probability of exceeding the total goals line, with the Sceptic suggesting the market might be slightly conservative regarding the overall goal count.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Wigan Athletic are underrated; The Dressing Room thinks Leicester City are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersLeicester's potent home attack and goal-scoring bursts should prove too much for Wigan's inconsistent road form.
Leicester scored 1.20 per game at home and scored 4 goals in the 31-45 and 46-60 periods. Wigan struggled away, scoring only 0.67 per game and conceding 6 goals in their last 5 away fixtures.
Wigan: slightly underrated
More goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe significant gap in league standing and points accumulation suggests Leicester holds a substantial psychological advantage.
Leicester City sits 13th with 15 points from 11 games, while Wigan Athletic is 24th with 7 points from 11 games. Both sides have 3 days of rest ahead of this fixture.
Leicester: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWhile Leicester is favoured, the historical goal-scoring nature of their matchups suggests the total goals market may be slightly low.
In the last 3 head-to-head encounters, there were 2.7 goals per game. The market shows 66% probability for over 2.5 goals, but both teams have scored in 56% of their meetings.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Leicester City are clear favourites at 70%, with Wigan Athletic on 12% and the draw on 18%. Leicester City are 13th and Wigan Athletic 24th in the League One. In their last five league games, Leicester City won two and Wigan Athletic one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Leicester City win or draw
- 88%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 82%
- Wigan Athletic win or draw
- 30%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 66%
- 4+ goals
- 44%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 2.4 goals from Leicester City and 1.0 from Wigan Athletic. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%), 3–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 18% | 12% | Stats preview | #1668 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Leicester City: last 6
LWWLLW · 15 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Luton | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | at Bromley | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Doncaster | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Peterborough | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Oct | at Stevenage EFL Trophy | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Fulham U21 EFL Trophy | 6–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWLW
Wigan Athletic: last 6
LLWLWL · 6 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Huddersfield | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | at Oxford United | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Reading | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Stevenage | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Blackpool EFL Trophy | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Wycombe | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLDL
Season stats
| Leicester City | Wigan Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Goals scored per game | 0.73 |
| 1.55 | Goals conceded per game | 1.55 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game at home | 0.80 |
| 1.83 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 64% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| 64% | Both teams scored | 36% |
| 27% | Clean sheets | 18% |
| 18% | Failed to score | 55% |
| 1.73 | Yellow cards per game | 2.91 |
League matches only, 11 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Leicester City | Wigan Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Luton | 11 | +2 | 17 | WWLWL |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | -1 | 17 | WDDLL |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | +4 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 13 | Leicester City | 11 | +0 | 15 | LWWLD |
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | -4 | 15 | DDWLD |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | +2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | -11 | 13 | DLLLD |
| … | |||||
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | -10 | 10 | DLDWL |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | -16 | 9 | DLLLW |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic | 11 | -9 | 7 | LLWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Leicester City won 2, Wigan Athletic 0, 1 draw; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2020 | Leicester City | 2–0 | Wigan Athletic | FA Cup |
| 1 Apr 2014 | Wigan Athletic | 2–2 | Leicester City | Championship |
| 14 Sep 2013 | Leicester City | 2–0 | Wigan Athletic | Championship |
Match context
- Stadium
- King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
- 34,310 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Leicester City 3Wigan Athletic 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Leicester City 3 · Wigan Athletic 3
- Coaches
- Russell Martin
- Leicester City, since Jul 2026
- G. Caldwell
- Wigan Athletic, since Aug 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
