Oxford United vs Bradford City prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Bradford 37%)
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 49% · ✗ 0 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the market, with only a small two-point shift towards Bradford from the draw and home columns. The Sceptic's view was not followed: it leaned towards a draw and under 2.5 goals, but the balance of the analysts' arguments pointed to a slight away edge.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Bradford City's chances are better than the bookmakers say. Neither makes Bradford City favourites. The Sceptic thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsBradford are strongly underrated; both defences look settled, so the predicted XIs suggest a tight tactical contest.
Oxford's predicted XI keeps Brannagan and Andrews in midfield, with Harris leading the line; Emakhu is back from injury, though McDonnell, Roosken and Jeon Jin-Woo remain out. Bradford's shape pairs Swan and Beesley up front, with Wright and Neufville sidelined. Neither side lists suspensions, so both managers can field near-full selections.
Bradford: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh✗ Wrong The Dressing Room
mood and pressureOxford's current momentum and home advantage could see them secure a crucial point against a strong Bradford side.
Oxford seeks to extend a six-game unbeaten run and break into playoff spots.
Bradford: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh✗ Wrong The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongOxford United's home momentum and defensive stability should see them secure a vital point.
Bradford City has maintained a strong defensive record, conceding only 5 goals in 11 games. The match is set to be played at Kassam Stadium under rainy and windy conditions [Match Conditions].
AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Third-placed Bradford City visit an Oxford side unbeaten in six league games at the Kassam Stadium. Bradford's defence has conceded just five league goals, while Oxford are chasing a playoff place. Both sides have several players out, though no new absences appear in our feed.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Oxford United win or draw
- 62%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Bradford City win or draw
- 65%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Oxford United and 1.4 from Bradford City. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 36% | 28% | 36% | 49% |
| Goals model | 40% | 33% | 27% | 31% |
| AI analysts | 34% | 32% | 34% | 37% |
| Our forecast | 35% | 28% | 38% | 51% |
Verdict: Our numbers stay close to the market: Bradford's third place and strong defensive record justify a small upward shift, while Oxford's unbeaten home form and momentum keep the home side competitive.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Oxford United: last 6
WDWDDW · 11 scored, 6 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Wigan | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Mansfield Town | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Notts County | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Exeter City EFL Trophy | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Cambridge United | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Burton Albion | 3–0 | W |
Last 4 at home: WDWD
Bradford City: last 6
DWDWDW · 9 scored, 2 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Burton Albion | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Stevenage | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Leyton Orient | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Oct | at Rotherham EFL Trophy | 4–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Reading | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Newcastle United U21 EFL Trophy | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DWDWW
Season stats
| Oxford United | Bradford City | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 0.91 |
| 1.11 | Goals conceded per game | 0.45 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 78% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 9% |
| 78% | Both teams scored | 18% |
| 22% | Clean sheets | 73% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 27% |
| 2.11 | Yellow cards per game | 2.09 |
League matches only, 9 and 11 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Oxford United | Bradford City |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | +13 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Stockport County | 12 | +12 | 23 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | +5 | 22 | DDWDD |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | +2 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | +12 | 21 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 12 | +3 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Oxford United | 10 | +8 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 11 | +8 | 18 | LLWDD |
| 9 | Mansfield Town | 11 | +4 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | +2 | 17 | WWLWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Oxford United won 2, Bradford City 3, 1 draw; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2019 | Oxford United | 1–0 | Bradford City | League One |
| 24 Nov 2018 | Bradford City | 2–0 | Oxford United | League One |
| 30 Dec 2017 | Bradford City | 3–2 | Oxford United | League One |
| 12 Sep 2017 | Oxford United | 2–2 | Bradford City | League One |
| 14 Apr 2017 | Bradford City | 1–0 | Oxford United | League One |
| 31 Jan 2017 | Oxford United | 2–1 | Bradford City | EFL Trophy |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1J. Cumming
Defenders
- 15B. Spencer
- 6M. Helik
- 3C. Brown
- 26J. Currie
Midfielders
- 4Kai Andrews
- 8C. Brannagan
- 57M. Missanga
- 11T. Goodrham
- 23S. Dembélé
Forward
- 19G. O'Donkor
Substitutes (7)
- 13S. Eastwood
- 10A. Emakhu
- 9M. Harris
- 30P. Kioso
- 2S. Long
- 20L. Lynch
- 32L. Sibley
Goalkeeper
- 21J. McCracken
Defenders
- 28M. Pennington
- 15A. Baldwin
- 16George Christopher John Pratt
Midfielders
- 27C. O'Keeffe
- 10A. Sarcevic
- 6C. Connolly
- 3I. Touray
- 32G. Lapslie
- 24W. Swan
Forward
- 19K. Jackson
Substitutes (7)
- 25N. Powell
- 23B. Pointon
- 8A. Phillips
- 22Kieran Morgan
- 5M. Gillesphey
- 1C. Dawson
- 9J. Beesley
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
Key facts
- Bradford City are third with 21 points from 11 league games and are chasing the automatic promotion places.[3]
- Bradford have conceded only five goals in 11 league games, the basis of their strong season.[3]
- Oxford have played fewer league games than their rivals, which the manager sees as an opportunity.[7]
- Oxford are unbeaten in six league games and aiming to break into the playoff spots.[3]
- Oxford have yet to lose at home in the league this season, with two wins and two draws.[3]
- Bradford's away league record is solid, with three wins, two draws and one defeat.[3]
Sources
- sportsmole.co.uk – Preview: Oxford United vs Bradford City - prediction, team news ...
- lastwordonsports.com – Oxford United Team and Injury News for Visit of Bradford
- bbc.co.uk – Oxford have momentum with them - Harris (2026-10-20)
Match context
- Stadium
- The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
- 12,500 seats · grass
- Travel for Bradford City
- 229 km
- Rest days
- Oxford United 3Bradford City 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Oxford United 2 · Bradford City 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 27 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- A. Ramsey
- Oxford United, since Oct 2026
- M. Duff
- Bradford City, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- League One average: 2.83 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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