‹ League One · Matchday 13
Blackpool 17thWLLLD
1–4
UK time (GMT)
Full time
Mansfield Town 11thWDWDD

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town prediction

Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast

Who wins?

Wide open: no clear favourite (Mansfield 38%)

Blackpool35%Bookies 34
Draw27%Bookies 27
Mansfield38%Bookies 39

Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 56% · ✓ 5 goals

The Verdict

Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers', moving only a single point from the away side, because Mansfield's form and morale offset their two attacking absences and midweek fatigue. The Coach's view was not followed, as its three-point shift toward Blackpool overweighted availability concerns given Mansfield still start in-form scorer Michael Smith.

✓ Favourite won (Mansfield 38%) Ledger record ↗

What our AI analysts say

1 of 3 think Blackpool's chances are better than the bookmakers say.

The Coach

tactics and lineups

Blackpool's full-strength XI faces a Mansfield side missing two attackers.

Mansfield are without David McGoldrick and Tyler Roberts, both ruled out by Clough. Michael Smith, their top scorer with 5 goals, starts alongside Russell. Blackpool name their expected full XI with no absences reported.

Mansfield TownMansfield: slightly overrated Low

The Dressing Room

mood and pressure

In-form, confident Mansfield edge a struggling Blackpool side despite midweek fatigue.

Mansfield sit 11th with 15 pts, a point better than 12 months ago, and just won 3-0 away at Wimbledon - their first away win of the season. Blackpool are 17th on 11 pts after two league defeats, but beat MK Dons 2-0 last time out.

BlackpoolBlackpool: slightly overrated More goalsLow

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

Market slightly overrates Mansfield; Blackpool's home edge is a touch underpriced here.

Market makes Mansfield 38.8% vs Blackpool 34.6%, but the pure statistical model flips it (42% home, 33% away) and over 2.5 at 56.6% sits below the model's 62% with a 2.83 goals-per-game league environment. H2H is tight (2-2-1 last five). The market's away favouritism may be a notch too strong.

BlackpoolBlackpool: slightly underrated More goalsLow✗ Wrong

AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best

In short

Mansfield Town arrive 11th with 15 points and a fresh 3-0 away win at AFC Wimbledon, but they are missing attackers David McGoldrick and Tyler Roberts and played only days ago. Blackpool sit 17th with 11 points and beat MK Dons 2-0 in their last league home game. Our numbers stay close to the market, with a small lean away from the visitors.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Blackpool win or draw
62%
Either team wins (no draw)
73%
Mansfield Town win or draw
65%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
55%
4+ goals
33%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
58%
No
42%

We expect about 1.4 goals from Blackpool and 1.5 from Mansfield Town. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–0 (8%).

How we got to these numbers
Home = Blackpool win, Away = Mansfield Town win.
HomeDrawAway3+ goals
Bookmakers35%27%39%56%
Goals model42%25%33%62%
AI analysts41%26%33%59%
Our forecast35%27%38%55%

Verdict: Our final numbers stay close to the market, with one point moved from Mansfield to the home/draw side, reflecting Mansfield's two unavailable attackers and the short turnaround after Tuesday's away win, offset by their better form and morale.

Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology

Prediction history
#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 35%27%39%First analysis#895
2 35%27%38%Official lineups#990

Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Blackpool: last 6

WLLDLL · 8 scored, 12 conceded

20 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons2–0W
17 Octat Leyton Orient0–2L
10 Octat Cambridge United0–1L
6 Octvs Crewe EFL Trophy2–2D
22 Sepat Wigan EFL Trophy2–3L
19 Sepvs Plymouth2–4L

Last 5 at home: WDLDW

Mansfield Town: last 6

WDWLDD · 8 scored, 6 conceded

20 Octat AFC Wimbledon3–0W
15 Octvs Oxford United1–1D
10 Octvs Bromley2–1W
6 Octat Port Vale EFL Trophy0–2L
19 Sepat Burton Albion2–2D
12 Sepvs Huddersfield0–0D

Last 5 away: WLDLL

Season stats

BlackpoolMansfield Town
1.50Goals scored per game1.60
1.60Goals conceded per game1.50
2.20Scored per game at home2.00
0.80Scored per game away1.20
60%Matches over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score30%
1.80Yellow cards per game2.20

League matches only, 10 games each.

When goals come

Goals scored this season by 15-minute period.
MinutesBlackpoolMansfield Town
0–15 min 10
16–30 min 48
31–45 min 32
46–60 min 15
61–75 min 53
76–90 min 32

League One table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
6Cambridge United12+320LDWWD
7Oxford United10+819DWDWD
8Sheffield Wednesday11+818LLWDD
9Mansfield Town11+418WWDWD
10Luton11+217WWLWL
11Burton Albion13-117WDDLL
12Stevenage11+415LWLWL
…
17Doncaster11-112WLLWW
18Milton Keynes Dons11-612WLWLD
19Notts County11-311DWLLL
20Blackpool11-411LWLLL
21Peterborough12-1010DLDWL
22Bromley11-169DLLLW
23Barnsley11-108LLLLD

Full League One table · Predicted final table

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Blackpool won 1, Mansfield Town 3, 2 draws; 2.3 goals per game.

DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 Feb 2026Blackpool1–0Mansfield TownLeague One
19 Aug 2025Mansfield Town2–0BlackpoolLeague One
15 Feb 2025Blackpool3–3Mansfield TownLeague One
5 Oct 2024Mansfield Town2–0BlackpoolLeague One
6 Dec 2017Blackpool1–1Mansfield TownEFL Trophy
2 Jan 2017Blackpool0–1Mansfield TownLeague Two

Team news: lineups Confirmed

Blackpool4-1-3-2

Goalkeeper

  • 1B. Peacock-Farrell

Defenders

  • 28J. Williams
  • 4O. Casey
  • 3Z. Ashworth
  • 21I. Niskanen

Midfielders

  • 8A. Morgan
  • 11J. Bowler
  • 17Karoy Anderson
  • 7L. Clarkson

Forwards

  • 19D. Charles
  • 18D. Taylor
Substitutes (7)
  • 6J. Brown
  • 14T. Bloxham
  • 2A. Lyons
  • 26Finley Munroe
  • 15H. Coulson
  • 23L. Southwood
  • 12J. Yates
Mansfield Town3-1-4-2

Goalkeeper

  • 1L. Roberts

Defenders

  • 4E. Hewitt
  • 23A. Oshilaja
  • 5R. Sweeney

Midfielders

  • 25L. Reed
  • 22N. Moriah-Welsh
  • 33G. Abbott
  • 16L. Thompson
  • 3S. McLaughlin

Forwards

  • 13J. Russell
  • 14M. Smith
Substitutes (7)
  • 20F. Blake-Tracy
  • 8L. Bolton
  • 9J. Bowery
  • 24R. Hendry
  • 2K. Knoyle
  • 18R. Oates
  • 19T. Roberts

Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).

Team news: injuries and suspensions

PlayerTeamStatusSource
David McGoldrickMansfield TownOut[4]
Tyler RobertsMansfield TownOut[4]

Key facts

  • Blackpool are 17th in League One with 11 points from 10 games; their most recent match was a 2-0 home win over Milton Keynes Dons.[1]
  • Mansfield Town are 11th with 15 points from 10 games and won 3-0 away at AFC Wimbledon on Tuesday, their first away league win of the season.[1][4]
  • Blackpool have lost four of five away league games this season but are stronger at home, with two wins, two draws and one defeat.[1]
  • Michael Smith scored twice at Wimbledon and leads Mansfield's scoring with five goals.[4]
  • Mansfield manager Clough described the squad as being in a nice little groove as players return from injury.[4]
  • Blackpool lost their two league games before the MK Dons win, at Leyton Orient and Cambridge United.[1]

Sources

  1. bbc.com – Blackpool vs Mansfield Town: League One stats & head-to-head - BBC (2026-10-23)
  2. bbc.co.uk – Roberts still feeling the love at Mansfield (2026-10-22)
  3. bbc.co.uk – 'Privilege' to lead Mansfield challenge - Smith (2026-10-21)

Off the pitch

  • Tyler Roberts says he still feels valued at Mansfield after injury-hit years elsewhere, and the squad believes it can push for the top six.[3]
  • Michael Smith says the Mansfield dressing room is in a good place ahead of the trip to Blackpool.[4]

Match context

Stadium
Bloomfield Road, Blackpool, Lancashire
17,625 seats · grass
Travel for Mansfield Town
144 km
Rest days
Blackpool 3Mansfield Town 3
Matches in the last 14 days: Blackpool 2 · Mansfield Town 2
Weather at kick-off
10°C · wind 35 km/h
Rain expected
Coaches
I. Evatt
Blackpool, since Aug 2026
N. Clough
Mansfield Town, since Nov 2020
Goals in this league
League One average: 2.83 per match

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

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