Notts County vs Stockport County prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Stockport to win: 61%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 53% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers stay close to the bookmakers' at 16/23/61, as the data gap on injuries and lineups limits any confident shift. The Sceptic's small nudge towards Notts County was not followed, because a single midweek clean sheet after a four-game losing run is not enough evidence to move away from the market.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Stockport County are underrated; The Sceptic thinks Notts County are underrated.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsStockport's superior league form and attacking quality should see them through.
Stockport leads the league with 22 points from 11 games. Notts County has struggled offensively, scoring only one goal per game this term. Both sides are set up in a 3-4-3 formation for this fixture.
Stockport: strongly underrated
High✗ Wrong The Dressing Room
mood and pressureStockport's dominant league form and superior squad quality should see them secure the victory.
Stockport County is currently ranked 1st with 22 points, while Notts County sits in 18th place with 10 points. Stockport has won four consecutive league games and boasts a strong offense, including Kyle Wootton in form. Notts County recently secured a win after a run of four straight league defeats.
Notts: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongStockport strong, but Notts' midweek shutout makes the away price a shade short.
Notts sit 18th but kept their first clean sheet in 13 matches midweek. H2H favours Stockport, yet the away win probability looks marginally overstated.
Notts: slightly underrated
Low✗ Wrong AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
League leaders Stockport County visit 18th-placed Notts County. Stockport have won four straight league games; Notts ended a run of four league defeats with a midweek 2-0 win. No injury or lineup information is available for either side.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Notts County win or draw
- 39%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Stockport County win or draw
- 84%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Notts County and 1.9 from Stockport County. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–3 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 16% | 23% | 61% | 53% |
| Goals model | 24% | 27% | 48% | 49% |
| AI analysts | 20% | 26% | 54% | 54% |
| Our forecast | 16% | 23% | 61% | 54% |
Verdict: Our probabilities stay close to the market because the sources offer no team news, lineups or xG data, and Stockport's league position, form and head-to-head record all point the same way. The only counterweight is Notts' midweek clean sheet after a four-game losing run, which is not enough to shift the numbers materially.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Notts County: last 6
WLWLWL · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Sheffield Wednesday | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Wycombe | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest U21 EFL Trophy | 5–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Oxford United | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Grimsby EFL Trophy | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Reading | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWLWL
Stockport County: last 6
WWWWWD · 9 scored, 1 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Doncaster | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Bromley | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Barnsley | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Shrewsbury EFL Trophy | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Peterborough | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Sheffield Wednesday | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: WWDWL
Season stats
| Notts County | Stockport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.09 |
| 1.30 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game at home | 2.33 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game away | 1.80 |
| 30% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 45% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 45% |
| 30% | Failed to score | 18% |
| 2.60 | Yellow cards per game | 1.00 |
League matches only, 10 and 11 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Notts County | Stockport County |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | +13 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Stockport County | 12 | +12 | 23 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | +5 | 22 | DDWDD |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | +2 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | +12 | 21 | WWLWD |
| … | |||||
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | -11 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | -1 | 12 | WLLWW |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | -6 | 12 | WLWLD |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | -3 | 11 | DWLLL |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | -4 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | -10 | 10 | DLDWL |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | -16 | 9 | DLLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Notts County won 2, Stockport County 3, 1 draw; 3.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2024 | Notts County | 2–5 | Stockport County | League Two |
| 22 Dec 2023 | Stockport County | 2–1 | Notts County | League Two |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Stockport County | 3–0 | Notts County | National League |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Notts County | 2–1 | Stockport County | National League |
| 23 Feb 2021 | Stockport County | 0–0 | Notts County | National League |
| 16 Jan 2021 | Stockport County | 1–2 | Notts County | FA Trophy |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1J. Gibbons
Defenders
- 12L. Ness
- 3R. McDonald
- 4J. Bedeau
Midfielders
- 25N. Tsaroulla
- 27R. Finneran
- 20S. Robertson
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
Forwards
- 19L. Smyth
- 9D. Kanu
- 11C. Grant
Substitutes (7)
- 15J. Evans
- 2J. Gibbons
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 42H. Mustapha
- 39L. Ndlovu
- 7C. Roberts
- 6M. Sanders
Goalkeeper
- 1Oliver Whatmuff
Defenders
- 25M. Jobe
- 6E. O'Connell
- 5E. Pye
Midfielders
- 15R. Glover
- 4L. Bate
- 10O. Norwood
- 23B. Osborn
Forwards
- 7J. Diamond
- 19K. Wootton
- 16H. Wood
Substitutes (7)
- 29Adama Sidibeh
- 22M. Mandron
- 18L. Fiorini
- 30Ethan Ennis
- 2J. Dacres-Cogley
- 9B. Andrésson
- 20J. Adigun
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
No confirmed absences reported.
Key facts
- Notts County sit 18th in League One with 10 points from 10 games, one point above the relegation places.[1][4]
- Stockport County lead the table with 22 points from 11 games, having scored 23 and conceded 10.[1]
- Stockport have won their last four league matches, including away wins at Doncaster and Peterborough.[1][6]
- Notts County beat Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 in midweek, their first clean sheet in 13 matches in all competitions.[1][4]
- Kyle Wootton has scored 9 league goals in 11 games for Stockport and has scored in each of his past four.[6]
- Notts were the top scorers in League Two last season with 74 goals but are averaging roughly a goal a game this term.[4]
- Stockport's away league record this season is three wins, one draw and one defeat.[1]
Sources
Off the pitch
- Stockport climbed from 9th to the top of League One within five weeks under new manager Jimmy McNulty after Dave Challinor left the club.[6]
Match context
- Stadium
- Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
- 19,588 seats · grass
- Travel for Stockport County
- 84 km
- Rest days
- Notts County 3Stockport County 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Notts County 3 · Stockport County 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 10°C · wind 24 km/h
- Rain expected
- Coaches
- M. Paterson
- Notts County, since Jul 2025
- J. McNulty
- Stockport County, since Aug 2026
- Goals in this league
- League One average: 2.83 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
