Medeama vs Aduana Stars prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Medeama to win: 68%, about 2 in 3
Goals call2 goals or fewer 63% · bookies 63% · ✓ 1 goals
The Verdict
The analysis suggests Medeama holds the edge due to their strong home form and scoring metrics. However, the high frequency of goals in the season data and recent head-to-head history indicates a high probability of an open game, regardless of the final score.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Aduana Stars's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Aduana Stars favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersMedeama's powerful home attack is likely to overpower Aduana Stars' defensive efforts.
Medeama averages 2.67 goals scored at home, while Aduana Stars concede only 0.57 goals per game overall. Medeama has failed to score 0% of the time in the season.
Aduana Stars: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe clash between two mid-table sides suggests a competitive, tight encounter.
Medeama sits 2nd in the table with 14 points from 7 games, while Aduana Stars are 4th with 13 points. Medeama is coming off three consecutive home wins.
Aduana Stars: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe high rate of goals in recent history suggests the market may be underestimating the scoring potential.
The season data shows Both Teams Scoring in 71% of matches, significantly higher than the 38% published. In the last 6 H2H encounters, there were 3 draws.
Aduana Stars: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Medeama are clear favourites at 68%, with Aduana Stars on 10% and the draw on 22%. Medeama are 2nd and Aduana Stars 4th in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Medeama won four and Aduana Stars four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Medeama win or draw
- 90%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Aduana Stars win or draw
- 32%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 64%
- 3+ goals
- 37%
- 4+ goals
- 18%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 31%
- No
- 69%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Medeama and 0.5 from Aduana Stars. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (19%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (11%), 3–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 24% | 14% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1119 | |
| 2 | 68% | 22% | 10% | Prices moved | #1406 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Medeama: last 6
LWWWWD · 12 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Samartex | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Heart of Lions | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Debibi United | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | vs Port City | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Basake Holy Stars | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | at Dreams | 2–2 | D |
Last 3 at home: WWW
Aduana Stars: last 6
WLWWWL · 7 scored, 4 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Ashanti Gold | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Young Apostles | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Swedru All Blacks | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Asante Kotoko | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Karela | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Samartex | 0–1 | L |
Last 3 away: LWD
Season stats
| Medeama | Aduana Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 0.57 |
| 2.67 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| 71% | Both teams scored | 29% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 43% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 43% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 8 | +7 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | +7 | 17 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Port City | 8 | +4 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 4 | Samartex | 7 | +4 | 14 | WLWDD |
| 5 | Aduana Stars | 8 | +2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 6 | Basake Holy Stars | 8 | -3 | 12 | LWLWL |
| 7 | Swedru All Blacks | 7 | +2 | 11 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Asante Kotoko | 7 | +0 | 11 | WLWLD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Medeama won 2, Aduana Stars 1, 3 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Medeama | 1–1 | Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Aduana Stars | 0–0 | Medeama | Premier League |
| 23 Mar 2025 | Medeama | 2–0 | Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| 28 Oct 2024 | Aduana Stars | 2–2 | Medeama | Premier League |
| 21 Mar 2024 | Medeama | 2–0 | Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| 24 Sep 2023 | Aduana Stars | 2–0 | Medeama | Premier League |
Match context
- Rest days
- Medeama 7Aduana Stars 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Medeama 1 · Aduana Stars 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
