Karela vs Port City prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Karela to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 64% · ✗ 3 goals
The Verdict
The coach and sceptic both lean on Karela's three straight home wins, while the dressing room notes Port City's safer position could make them cautious. All three keep the published 50-28-22 line-up roughly intact, and none sees the 2.5 total clearing often.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersKarela's home scoring outweighs Port City's tight away defence
Karela average 1.67 goals per game at home with three straight home wins, scoring 5 and conceding 1, while Port City manage only 0.67 per game away.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressurePort City's cushion lets them travel and play for a point
Karela, 12th with 9 points, have no draws in 7 games, so they will chase a win at home.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe model's 36% for over 2.5 looks about right, maybe a shade high
Just 29% of their matches go over 2.5, so the published 36% looks slightly generous.
Karela: slightly overrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Karela are favourites at 50%, with Port City on 22% and the draw on 28%. Karela are 12th and Port City 6th in the Ghana Premier League. In their last five league games, Karela won two and Port City two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Karela win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Port City win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 63%
- 3+ goals
- 36%
- 4+ goals
- 17%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 41%
- No
- 59%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Karela and 0.8 from Port City. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 28% | 22% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1110 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Karela: last 6
LWLWLW · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Swedru All Blacks | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Dreams | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Oct | at Asante Kotoko | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Hearts of Oak | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Aduana Stars | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Bechem United | 3–1 | W |
Last 3 at home: WWW
Port City: last 6
DLWLWW · 8 scored, 5 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Dreams | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Hearts of Oak | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Bechem United | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | at Medeama | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Bibiani Gold Stars | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Berekum Chelsea | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 away: LLW
Season stats
| Karela | Port City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.29 |
| 1.29 | Goals conceded per game | 0.86 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 1.75 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 0.67 |
| 43% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 29% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 29% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Ghana Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 8 | +7 | 17 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Hearts of Oak | 8 | +7 | 17 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Port City | 8 | +4 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 4 | Samartex | 7 | +4 | 14 | WLWDD |
| 5 | Aduana Stars | 8 | +2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 6 | Basake Holy Stars | 8 | -3 | 12 | LWLWL |
| … | |||||
| 11 | Bechem United | 7 | -1 | 10 | LWLWD |
| 12 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 8 | -1 | 10 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Vision | 8 | +0 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 14 | Karela | 8 | -3 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 15 | Heart of Lions | 8 | -4 | 8 | LLLWW |
| 16 | Debibi United | 7 | -2 | 7 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Young Apostles | 7 | -7 | 6 | LWLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Karela 7Port City 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Karela 1 · Port City 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
