Goiás vs Náutico prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Goiás to win: 61%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54% · ✗ 0 goals
In short
Goiás are clear favourites at 61%, with Náutico on 17% and the draw on 22%. Goiás are 10th and Náutico 16th in Brasileirão Série B. In their last five league games, Goiás won three and Náutico one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Goiás win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Náutico win or draw
- 39%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Goiás and 0.9 from Náutico. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Goiás: last 6
WWLLWW · 9 scored, 7 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Operario-PR | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Athletic Club | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | at Novorizontino | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Atletico Goianiense | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Avai | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Botafogo SP | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWLW
Náutico: last 6
LLDWLD · 7 scored, 12 conceded
| 11 Oct | vs Vila Nova | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Novorizontino | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Fortaleza EC | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Sport Recife | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | at Cuiaba | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Operario-PR | 3–3 | D |
Last 5 away: DLLDD
Season stats
| Goiás | Náutico | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Goals scored per game | 1.18 |
| 1.21 | Goals conceded per game | 1.27 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.12 |
| 1.06 | Scored per game away | 1.25 |
| 36% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| 39% | Both teams scored | 45% |
| 24% | Clean sheets | 24% |
| 36% | Failed to score | 36% |
League matches only, 33 games each.
Brasileirão Série B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 35 | +10 | 49 | WLDLW |
| 11 | Goiás | 34 | -6 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 34 | +5 | 47 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 35 | +2 | 47 | WWWWL |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | +0 | 44 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Náutico | 34 | -3 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | -5 | 43 | DLWWD |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | -12 | 37 | LDWWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | -7 | 32 | LWDLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Goiás won 3, Náutico 3, 0 draws; 2.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | Náutico | 0–1 | Goiás | Serie B |
| 6 Oct 2021 | Náutico | 3–2 | Goiás | Serie B |
| 10 Jul 2021 | Goiás | 0–1 | Náutico | Serie B |
| 7 Oct 2017 | Goiás | 2–0 | Náutico | Serie B |
| 20 Jun 2017 | Náutico | 2–3 | Goiás | Serie B |
| 8 Nov 2016 | Náutico | 1–0 | Goiás | Serie B |
Match context
- Rest days
- Goiás 8Náutico 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Goiás 2 · Náutico 2
- Referee
- Yuri Elino Ferreira Da Cruz
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
