CRB vs Botafogo-SP prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
CRB to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 50% · bookies 49% · ✓ 1 goals
In short
CRB are clear favourites at 63%, with Botafogo-SP on 14% and the draw on 23%. CRB are 7th and Botafogo-SP 16th in Brasileirão Série B. In their last five league games, CRB won two and Botafogo-SP three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- CRB win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Botafogo-SP win or draw
- 37%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 28%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 45%
- No
- 55%
We expect about 1.9 goals from CRB and 0.8 from Botafogo-SP. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59% | 24% | 17% | Stats preview | #39 | |
| 2 | 61% | 24% | 15% | Updated news and prices | #139 | |
| 3 | 63% | 23% | 14% | Official lineups | #192 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
CRB: last 6
DWLWLW · 11 scored, 8 conceded
| 12 Oct | at Fortaleza EC | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Atletico Goianiense | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | at São Bernardo | 1–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Cuiaba | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Ponte Preta | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Sport Recife | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Botafogo-SP: last 6
WWLWDL · 7 scored, 6 conceded
| 13 Oct | vs Ceara | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | at Operario-PR | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Vila Nova | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Ponte Preta | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Athletic Club | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | vs Goias | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 away: WDLLW
Season stats
| CRB | Botafogo-SP | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Goals scored per game | 1.12 |
| 1.42 | Goals conceded per game | 1.15 |
| 1.94 | Scored per game at home | 1.53 |
| 1.18 | Scored per game away | 0.69 |
| 64% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| 58% | Both teams scored | 52% |
| 24% | Clean sheets | 21% |
| 21% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 33 games each.
Brasileirão Série B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Juventude | 34 | +18 | 61 | DDWWW |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | +12 | 61 | DWDWD |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | +6 | 59 | LWWLW |
| 6 | CRB | 35 | +4 | 55 | WLDWL |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 35 | +9 | 54 | WLDWW |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 35 | +10 | 49 | WLDLW |
| 11 | Goias | 34 | -6 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 34 | +5 | 47 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Botafogo-SP | 35 | +2 | 47 | WWWWL |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | +0 | 44 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | -3 | 43 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | -5 | 43 | DLWWD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: CRB won 3, Botafogo-SP 1, 2 draws; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | Botafogo-SP | 0–1 | CRB | Serie B |
| 24 Sep 2025 | CRB | 3–2 | Botafogo-SP | Serie B |
| 26 May 2025 | Botafogo-SP | 2–1 | CRB | Serie B |
| 25 Sep 2024 | Botafogo-SP | 0–0 | CRB | Serie B |
| 17 Jul 2024 | CRB | 4–1 | Botafogo-SP | Serie B |
| 5 Aug 2023 | CRB | 0–0 | Botafogo-SP | Serie B |
Match context
- Travel for Botafogo-SP
- 1,818 km
- Rest days
- CRB 6Botafogo-SP 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: CRB 2 · Botafogo-SP 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 28°C · wind 30 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Anderson Daronco
- Goals in this league
- Brasileirão Série B average: 2.35 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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