Mirassol vs Internacional prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Mirassol to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 53% · bookies 52% · ✗ 2 goals
In short
Mirassol are favourites at 47%, with Internacional on 26% and the draw on 27%. Mirassol are 15th and Internacional 16th in Brasileirão Série A. In their last five league games, Mirassol won two and Internacional two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Mirassol win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Internacional win or draw
- 53%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Mirassol and 1.2 from Internacional. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 27% | 26% | First analysis | daily seal | |
| 2 | 47% | 27% | 26% | Official lineups | daily seal |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Mirassol: last 6
LDWDWL · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Bahia | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Oct | at RB Bragantino | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Botafogo | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Vitoria | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Coritiba | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | at Flamengo | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WDDLD
Internacional: last 6
DWLWLL · 9 scored, 10 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Gremio | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Sao Paulo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Chapecoense-sc | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Santos | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | at Bahia | 2–3 | L |
Last 5 away: DLWLD
Season stats
| Mirassol | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.13 | Goals scored per game | 1.10 |
| 1.47 | Goals conceded per game | 1.27 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game at home | 1.20 |
| 0.87 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 7% | Clean sheets | 20% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 30% |
League matches only, 30 games each.
Brasileirão Série A table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Coritiba | 31 | -11 | 39 | LDLLD |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 | Corinthians | 32 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Gremio | 31 | -10 | 31 | LDDDL |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
Head-to-head
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutJose AldoMuscle
- OutNeguebaKnee
- OutAlan PatrickMuscle
- OutAllexNot available
- OutAnthoniKnee
Show 4 more
- OutKaykyAnkle
- OutG. MaripanMuscle
- OutS. RochetLower Back
- OutA. SanabriaNot available
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Internacional
- 1,038 km
- Rest days
- Mirassol 5Internacional 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Mirassol 2 · Internacional 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 20°C · wind 9 km/h
- Rain expected
- Referee
- Bruno Arleu
- Goals in this league
- Brasileirão Série A average: 2.68 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
