Boulogne vs Stade de Reims prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Stade de Reims to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 55% · bookies 55% · ✓ 2 goals
The Verdict
The coach sees a low-scoring shape, the sceptic sees goal potential from the head-to-heads, so the over lands broadly at the published 43%, maybe slightly higher.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersReims carry the sharper attack while Boulogne lean on low-scoring grind.
Boulogne concede just 0.67 a game with 44% clean sheets, but score only 0.67 at home. Reims average 2.11 scored and 78% both-teams-score, with 2.60 per game on their travels. Boulogne fail to score in 44% of matches, so a tight Reims-controlled scoreline looks the shape.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureReims' unbeaten start meets a Boulogne side that rarely loses but rarely wins.
Reims sit 4th with 17 points from 9 games, unbeaten at W4 D5 L0. Boulogne are 14th on 9 points, W1 D6 L2, and have drawn five of their last five at home. Both had 10 days' rest, so fatigue is level; Reims' momentum against a draw-heavy host points to a patient away display.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look fair, though the total may be nudged too low.
Reims at 41% seems slightly shy given four wins in the last six head-to-heads, including a 6-2 at Boulogne, and away form of three wins in five. Boulogne's six matches over 2.5 sits well below Reims' 67%, yet the H2H averages 3.2 goals and Reims' last six ran 4-2, 0-0, 1-1, 2-1, 2-2, 4-1.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Stade de Reims are favourites at 48%, with Boulogne on 25% and the draw on 27%. Boulogne are 14th and Stade de Reims 4th in Ligue 2. In their last five league games, Boulogne won one and Stade de Reims two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Boulogne win or draw
- 52%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Stade de Reims win or draw
- 75%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 70%
- 3+ goals
- 45%
- 4+ goals
- 23%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Boulogne and 1.5 from Stade de Reims. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (12%), 0–2 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 0–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Boulogne: last 6
WDLDDD · 5 scored, 4 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Grenoble | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | at Sochaux | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Nantes | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | at Clermont Foot | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Dijon | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | at Montpellier | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: LDDDD
Stade de Reims: last 6
WDDWDW · 13 scored, 7 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Dijon | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Nantes | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Montpellier | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | at Nancy | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Guingamp | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | at RED Star FC 93 | 4–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DWWDL
Season stats
| Boulogne | Stade de Reims | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Goals scored per game | 2.11 |
| 0.67 | Goals conceded per game | 1.22 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game at home | 2.60 |
| 0.60 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 11% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 78% |
| 44% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 22% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | +7 | 21 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Nancy | 10 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 10 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | +3 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | +1 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| … | |||||
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Boulogne | 10 | +0 | 10 | DWDLD |
| 14 | Rodez | 10 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Boulogne won 0, Stade de Reims 4, 2 draws; 3.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Stade de Reims | 0–0 | Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Boulogne | 2–6 | Stade de Reims | Ligue 2 |
| 16 Jul 2025 | Stade de Reims | 1–0 | Boulogne | Friendlies Clubs |
| 1 May 2012 | Stade de Reims | 3–2 | Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
| 14 Jan 2012 | Boulogne | 0–0 | Stade de Reims | Ligue 2 |
| 15 Apr 2011 | Stade de Reims | 4–1 | Boulogne | Ligue 2 |
Match context
- Travel for Stade de Reims
- 236 km
- Rest days
- Boulogne 10Stade de Reims 10
- Matches in the last 14 days: Boulogne 1 · Stade de Reims 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 14°C · wind 25 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Leprodhomme·Tifenn
- Goals in this league
- Ligue 2 average: 2.68 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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