SC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
AZ Alkmaar to win: 65%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3 goals or fewer 54% · bookies 53% · ✗ 4 goals
In short
AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites at 65%, with SC Cambuur on 16% and the draw on 19%. SC Cambuur are 13th and AZ Alkmaar 3rd in the Eredivisie. In their last five league games, SC Cambuur won two and AZ Alkmaar three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- SC Cambuur win or draw
- 35%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 81%
- AZ Alkmaar win or draw
- 84%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 68%
- 4+ goals
- 46%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.1 goals from SC Cambuur and 2.4 from AZ Alkmaar. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–2 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 0–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 1–3 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
SC Cambuur: last 6
WDWDLL · 10 scored, 12 conceded
| 11 Oct | at PEC Zwolle | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at ADO Den Haag | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs NEC Nijmegen | 3–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Telstar | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Twente | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Feyenoord | 2–5 | L |
Last 4 at home: WLLL
AZ Alkmaar: last 6
WLWLDW · 7 scored, 7 conceded
| 15 Oct | vs Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Europa League | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Feyenoord | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Telstar | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | at Sunderland UEFA Europa League | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Willem II | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Heerenveen | 3–2 | W |
Last 5 away: LLWWW
Season stats
| SC Cambuur | AZ Alkmaar | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Goals scored per game | 2.25 |
| 2.38 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 2.25 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 2.25 |
| 75% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | +21 | 24 | DWWWW |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | +15 | 20 | DLWLW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | +10 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | +15 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 5 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | +0 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Twente | 9 | +7 | 17 | LDWWW |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | +5 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | +3 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | +0 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 10 | SC Cambuur | 10 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | -10 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: SC Cambuur won 0, AZ Alkmaar 4, 2 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2023 | AZ Alkmaar | 2–1 | SC Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| 28 Aug 2022 | SC Cambuur | 0–1 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| 22 Jan 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 0–0 | SC Cambuur | Eredivisie |
| 3 Oct 2021 | SC Cambuur | 1–3 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| 2 Mar 2017 | AZ Alkmaar | 0–0 | SC Cambuur | KNVB Beker |
| 27 Jan 2016 | AZ Alkmaar | 3–1 | SC Cambuur | Eredivisie |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutJ. AmofaInjury
- OutW. AsselmanInjury
- OutD. VisserKnee
- OutJ. HornkampInjury
- OutS. ResinkKnee
- OutK. SmitInjury
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for AZ Alkmaar
- 95 km
- Rest days
- SC Cambuur 7AZ Alkmaar 2
- Matches in the last 14 days: SC Cambuur 1 · AZ Alkmaar 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 10°C · wind 17 km/h
- Rain expected
- Referee
- Stan Teuben
- Goals in this league
- Eredivisie average: 3.79 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
