FC Twente vs FC Utrecht prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Twente to win: 72%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 69% · bookies 70% · ✓ 3 goals
In short
FC Twente are clear favourites at 72%, with FC Utrecht on 12% and the draw on 16%. FC Twente are 5th and FC Utrecht 14th in the Eredivisie. In their last five league games, FC Twente won three and FC Utrecht two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC Twente win or draw
- 88%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 84%
- FC Utrecht win or draw
- 28%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 87%
- 3+ goals
- 69%
- 4+ goals
- 47%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 2.6 goals from FC Twente and 1.0 from FC Utrecht. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 72% | 16% | 12% | Stats preview | #45 | |
| 2 | 71% | 16% | 13% | Updated news and prices | #91 | |
| 3 | 72% | 16% | 12% | Official lineups | #170 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC Twente: last 6
WDWWWD · 10 scored, 5 conceded
| 15 Oct | vs FC Thun UEFA Europa Conference League | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Fortuna Sittard | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs PSV Eindhoven | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs ADO Den Haag | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs Telstar | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Groningen | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: WWWWL
FC Utrecht: last 6
WLWDLD · 12 scored, 19 conceded
| 11 Oct | vs Willem II | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Feyenoord | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Excelsior | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | vs GO Ahead Eagles | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs PSV Eindhoven | 1–6 | L |
| 22 Aug | at Sparta Rotterdam | 3–3 | D |
Last 4 away: LWDL
Season stats
| FC Twente | FC Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.75 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 3.12 |
| 2.25 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 88% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 12% |
League matches only, 8 games each.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | +10 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | +15 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 5 | Fortuna Sittard | 10 | +0 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 6 | FC Twente | 9 | +7 | 17 | LDWWW |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | +5 | 15 | WWLWD |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | +3 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 9 | GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | +0 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 10 | -10 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 10 | -1 | 11 | DDDDL |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | -3 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | -6 | 9 | WDLLD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: FC Twente won 2, FC Utrecht 3, 1 draw; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | FC Twente | 0–2 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| 13 Jan 2026 | FC Utrecht | 1–2 | FC Twente | KNVB Beker |
| 7 Dec 2025 | FC Utrecht | 1–1 | FC Twente | Eredivisie |
| 11 May 2025 | FC Twente | 2–0 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| 1 Sep 2024 | FC Utrecht | 2–1 | FC Twente | Eredivisie |
| 18 Feb 2024 | FC Twente | 0–1 | FC Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutM. BrunsNot available
- OutS. LemkinMuscle
- OutL. UnnerstallNot available
- OutA. EngwandaHamstring
- OutV. JensenKnee
- OutM. JonathansKnee
Show 3 more
- OutN. OhioKnee
- OutK. ParedesKnee
- OutA. StepanovAnkle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for FC Utrecht
- 121 km
- Rest days
- FC Twente 2FC Utrecht 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC Twente 2 · FC Utrecht 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 10°C · wind 12 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Allard Lindhout
- Goals in this league
- Eredivisie average: 3.85 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
