Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Roda JC Kerkrade to win: 55%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 62% · bookies 62% · ✓ 3 goals
In short
Roda JC Kerkrade are favourites at 55%, with Jong FC Utrecht on 23% and the draw on 22%. Jong FC Utrecht are 20th and Roda JC Kerkrade 8th in the Eerste Divisie. In their last five league games, Jong FC Utrecht won two and Roda JC Kerkrade two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Jong FC Utrecht win or draw
- 45%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Roda JC Kerkrade win or draw
- 76%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 62%
- 4+ goals
- 40%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Jong FC Utrecht and 2.0 from Roda JC Kerkrade. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (8%), 0–2 (8%), 1–3 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25% | 24% | 51% | Stats preview | #182 | |
| 2 | 24% | 22% | 54% | Prices moved | #253 | |
| 3 | 25% | 24% | 50% | Updated news and prices | #255 | |
| 4 | 24% | 22% | 55% | Prices moved | #275 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 4 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Jong FC Utrecht: last 6
LLWWDL · 12 scored, 10 conceded
| 9 Oct | at De Graafschap | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs VVV Venlo | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Jong Ajax | 6–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | at NAC Breda | 3–2 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs FC Eindhoven | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | at Jong AZ | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LWDLL
Roda JC Kerkrade: last 6
DLWDWD · 5 scored, 4 conceded
| 9 Oct | vs Jong PSV U21 | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | at VVV Venlo | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Waalwijk | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Jong Ajax | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Vitesse | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at MVV | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LDDWL
Season stats
| Jong FC Utrecht | Roda JC Kerkrade | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 2.30 | Goals conceded per game | 0.80 |
| 1.80 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.40 | Scored per game away | 0.40 |
| 90% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 20% |
| 90% | Both teams scored | 40% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 10% | Failed to score | 30% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 12 | +14 | 25 | WDWWL |
| 3 | Emmen | 12 | +7 | 25 | WWWDW |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 12 | +13 | 22 | LLWWL |
| 5 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 12 | +4 | 22 | WWDLW |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 12 | +3 | 21 | DWWDW |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 12 | +9 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 8 | Jong AZ | 12 | +5 | 17 | WDLWD |
| … | |||||
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 12 | -9 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 12 | -15 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | -6 | 9 | LLLDL |
| 20 | Jong FC Utrecht | 12 | -12 | 7 | LLLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Jong FC Utrecht won 1, Roda JC Kerkrade 3, 2 draws; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2025 | Jong FC Utrecht | 1–3 | Roda JC Kerkrade | Eerste Divisie |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1–1 | Jong FC Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 3–0 | Jong FC Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| 22 Nov 2024 | Jong FC Utrecht | 1–3 | Roda JC Kerkrade | Eerste Divisie |
| 26 Jan 2024 | Roda JC Kerkrade | 0–0 | Jong FC Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| 1 Sep 2023 | Jong FC Utrecht | 1–0 | Roda JC Kerkrade | Eerste Divisie |
Match context
- Rest days
- Jong FC Utrecht 10Roda JC Kerkrade 10
- Matches in the last 14 days: Jong FC Utrecht 1 · Roda JC Kerkrade 1
- Referee
- Jorg Ordelmans
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
