Ceará vs Goiás prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Ceará to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a tight contest where Ceará's home form is the main catalyst. While Goiás holds the league advantage, the balanced H2H and Ceará's scoring power suggest a closely fought match with a reasonable chance of goals.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersCeará's strong home scoring rate meets Goiás's defensive consistency.
Ceará scores 1.29 per game at home, while Goiás concedes 1.18 per game overall. Ceará has a 53% BTTS rate in this competition. Ceará's expected goals are 1.4 against Goiás's 1.0.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureGoiás holds the advantage with a better league position and more points.
Goiás sits 11th with 49 points, compared to Ceará's 16th place with 43 points. Goiás has 8 days rest, while Ceará has 10 days rest. Both teams have played 34 games.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market accurately reflects the competitive nature of this fixture.
The head-to-head record is balanced with 1 win for Ceará, 2 for Goiás, and 3 draws. Both teams have a 38% failure to score rate in the competition. The market aligns with the 44% over 2.5 goals probability.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Ceará are favourites at 48%, with Goiás on 26% and the draw on 26%. Ceará are 15th and Goiás 11th in Brasileirão Série B. In their last five league games, Ceará won two and Goiás two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Ceará win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Goiás win or draw
- 52%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Ceará and 1.1 from Goiás. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Ceará: last 6
DLWWDW · 8 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Juventude | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Oct | at Botafogo SP | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Criciuma | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Avai | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Operario-PR | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Novorizontino | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: DWWWW
Goiás: last 6
DWWLLW · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Nautico Recife | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Oct | at Operario-PR | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Athletic Club | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Oct | at Novorizontino | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Atletico Goianiense | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Avai | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WLWLD
Season stats
| Ceará | Goiás | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.24 | Goals conceded per game | 1.18 |
| 1.29 | Scored per game at home | 0.94 |
| 0.88 | Scored per game away | 1.06 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| 53% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 21% | Clean sheets | 26% |
| 32% | Failed to score | 38% |
League matches only, 34 games each.
Brasileirão Série B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | +9 | 54 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | -1 | 51 | WLLLL |
| 10 | São Bernardo | 35 | +10 | 49 | WLDLW |
| 11 | Goiás | 34 | -6 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 12 | Cuiaba | 35 | +4 | 47 | LLLDW |
| 13 | Botafogo SP | 35 | +2 | 47 | WWWWL |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | +0 | 44 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Ceará | 34 | -5 | 43 | DLWWD |
| 16 | Nautico Recife | 35 | -7 | 43 | LDLLD |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | -12 | 37 | LDWWL |
| 18 | Londrina | 35 | -7 | 32 | LWDLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Ceará won 1, Goiás 2, 3 draws; 2.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | Goiás | 2–0 | Ceará | Serie B |
| 13 Aug 2024 | Goiás | 2–1 | Ceará | Serie B |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Ceará | 1–1 | Goiás | Serie B |
| 5 Oct 2022 | Ceará | 1–1 | Goiás | Serie A |
| 12 Jun 2022 | Goiás | 1–1 | Ceará | Serie A |
| 21 Jan 2021 | Goiás | 0–4 | Ceará | Serie A |
Match context
- Travel for Goiás
- 1,855 km
- Rest days
- Ceará 10Goiás 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Ceará 1 · Goiás 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 28°C · wind 12 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn
- Goals in this league
- Brasileirão Série B average: 2.34 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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