Perth Glory vs Adelaide United prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Adelaide to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings suggest a match where attacking statistics outweigh the poor league form. While both teams are struggling, the expected goals and Adelaide's recent results point towards a high-scoring game where the away side holds a slight advantage.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Adelaide United's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersPerth's expected 1.4 goals meets Adelaide's 1.6, suggesting a high-scoring affair.
Perth Glory is projected to score 1.4 goals while Adelaide United is projected at 1.6. Both teams score in 60% of their matches.
Adelaide: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides are in poor league form, with Perth having endured two consecutive losses.
Perth Glory sits 12th with 0 points from 2 games (2-4 goals). Adelaide United is 11th with 0 points from 1 game (1-2 goals).
Adelaide: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongAdelaide United's recent performance, including an AFC Champions League Two win, suggests they are capable of more.
Adelaide United's last two matches include a 2-1 win in AFC Champions League Two. Perth Glory has lost their last two A-League fixtures 1-2 and 1-2.
Adelaide: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Adelaide United are slight favourites at 42%, with Perth Glory on 32% and the draw on 26%. Perth Glory are 12th and Adelaide United 11th in the A-League Men. In their last two matches across all competitions, Perth Glory won none and Adelaide United one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Perth Glory win or draw
- 58%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Adelaide United win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 57%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Perth Glory and 1.6 from Adelaide United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 26% | 42% | Stats preview | #2159 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Perth Glory: last 2
LL · 2 scored, 4 conceded
| 23 Oct | at Brisbane Roar | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Macarthur | 1–2 | L |
Adelaide United: last 2
LW · 3 scored, 3 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Sydney | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | at BG Pathum United AFC Champions League Two | 2–1 | W |
Last 2 away: LW
A-League Men table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 2 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 10 | Melbourne City | 2 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 11 | Adelaide United | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
Match context
- Travel for Adelaide United
- 2,130 km
- -2.5 h time zone
- Rest days
- Perth Glory 8Adelaide United 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Perth Glory 1 · Adelaide United 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 22 km/h
- Rain expected
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
