Brisbane Roar vs Auckland prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Auckland 39%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings land close to the published numbers, with the Sceptic arguing Auckland's 39% flatters their away record after a 2-5 defeat. The Coach and Dressing Room both see an open game, consistent with 53% both teams score and 49% over 2.5. A near-even match with a slight Brisbane home correction is the consensus.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Brisbane Roar's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersAuckland's away fragility meets Brisbane's solid home start
Auckland's only away game ended 2-5, while Brisbane won their home opener 2-1. Both teams score sits at 53% and 3+ goals at 49%, so chances should come at both ends. Brisbane's 1.2 expected goals versus Auckland's 1.4 suggests a tight, open contest.
Brisbane Roar: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureEarly-season table gives both sides confidence but little margin
Brisbane sit 5th with 3 points from one game; Auckland are 6th with 3 from two, having scored 5 and conceded 6. Brisbane have had 7 days' rest to Auckland's 6, and Auckland have played twice in 14 days. Early points matter and neither can afford a slow start.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongMarket leans Auckland, but their away record argues otherwise
Auckland are priced at 39% despite losing their only away game 2-5, while Brisbane won at home. The 49% over 2.5 line looks fair given 74% for 2+ goals.
Brisbane Roar: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Auckland are slight favourites at 39%, with Brisbane Roar on 33% and the draw on 28%. Brisbane Roar are 5th and Auckland 6th in the A-League Men. In their last match across all competitions, Brisbane Roar won one and Auckland none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Brisbane Roar win or draw
- 61%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Auckland win or draw
- 67%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Brisbane Roar and 1.4 from Auckland. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33% | 28% | 39% | Stats preview | #1795 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Brisbane Roar: last 1
W · 2 scored, 1 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Perth Glory | 2–1 | W |
Last 1 at home: W
Auckland: last 2
LW · 5 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Western Sydney Wanderers | 2–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Melbourne City | 3–1 | W |
Last 1 away: L
A-League Men table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2 | +3 | 4 | WD |
| 3 | Macarthur | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 4 | Sydney | 2 | +1 | 4 | WD |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Auckland | 2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | +0 | 2 | DD |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 2 | -2 | 1 | LD |
Match context
- Rest days
- Brisbane Roar 7Auckland 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Brisbane Roar 1 · Auckland 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 20°C · wind 7 km/h
- Dry
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
