Macarthur vs Western Sydney Wanderers prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Western Sydney 38%)
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a competitive match where goals are likely, with Macarthur holding a slight edge at home. The consistent data points towards a high-scoring affair, though the Wanderers' lack of away goals remains a significant factor.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Macarthur are underrated; The Dressing Room thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersMacarthur's strong home scoring rate of 2.00 per game contrasts with Western Sydney's inability to score on the road.
Macarthur has scored 2.00 per game at home and has a 100% both teams score rate.
Macarthur: slightly underrated
More goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth teams are in similar positions with 4 points from two games, but the pressure is mounting.
Both Macarthur and Western Sydney Wanderers have 4 points from 2 games (W1 D1 L0). Both sides have 7 days rest and have played 1 game in the last 14 days.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market appears to undervalue Macarthur's home advantage given the Wanderers' poor away form.
Western Sydney Wanderers have only scored 0.00 per game away. Macarthur's season stats show they have failed to score 0% of the time in this competition.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Western Sydney Wanderers are slight favourites at 38%, with Macarthur on 37% and the draw on 25%. Macarthur are 3rd and Western Sydney Wanderers 2nd in the A-League Men. In their last two matches across all competitions, Macarthur won one and Western Sydney Wanderers one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Macarthur win or draw
- 62%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Western Sydney Wanderers win or draw
- 63%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 63%
- No
- 37%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Macarthur and 1.6 from Western Sydney Wanderers. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 0–1 (7%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37% | 25% | 38% | Stats preview | #1797 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Macarthur: last 2
DW · 3 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Newcastle Jets | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Perth Glory | 2–1 | W |
Last 1 at home: W
Western Sydney Wanderers: last 2
WD · 5 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Auckland | 5–2 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Sydney | 0–0 | D |
Last 1 away: D
Season stats
| Macarthur | Western Sydney Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 2.50 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 5.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 0.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 100% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 2 games each.
A-League Men table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2 | +3 | 4 | WD |
| 3 | Macarthur | 2 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 4 | Sydney | 2 | +1 | 4 | WD |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 6 | Auckland | 2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
Match context
- Travel for Western Sydney Wanderers
- 0 km
- Rest days
- Macarthur 7Western Sydney Wanderers 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Macarthur 1 · Western Sydney Wanderers 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 22°C · wind 12 km/h
- Rain expected
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
