Trabzonspor vs Besiktas prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Trabzonspor 38%)
Goals call3+ goals 64% · bookies 64% · ✗ 2 goals
In short
Trabzonspor are slight favourites at 38%, with Besiktas on 37% and the draw on 25%. Trabzonspor are 5th and Besiktas 4th in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Trabzonspor won three and Besiktas four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Trabzonspor win or draw
- 63%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Besiktas win or draw
- 62%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 64%
- 4+ goals
- 42%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 65%
- No
- 35%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Trabzonspor and 1.6 from Besiktas. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 1–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37% | 24% | 39% | Stats preview | #173 | |
| 2 | 39% | 25% | 37% | Prices moved | #244 | |
| 3 | 38% | 25% | 37% | Updated news and prices | #249 | |
| 4 | 38% | 25% | 37% | Prices moved | #267 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 4 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Trabzonspor: last 6
WWWLWL · 17 scored, 5 conceded
| 15 Oct | at KuPS UEFA Europa Conference League | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Samsunspor | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Galatasaray | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Konyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 5–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | at Amed | 1–2 | L |
Last 4 at home: WWWL
Besiktas: last 6
WWLWWW · 16 scored, 8 conceded
| 15 Oct | at 1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Kocaelispor | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Amed | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Marseille UEFA Europa League | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Erzurumspor FK | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | at Fenerbahçe | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WLWLL
Season stats
| Trabzonspor | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.29 | Goals scored per game | 2.29 |
| 0.71 | Goals conceded per game | 1.14 |
| 3.67 | Scored per game at home | 3.00 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game away | 1.33 |
| 71% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 71% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 57% |
| 43% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 14% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amed | 9 | +10 | 20 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 8 | +6 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe | 8 | +16 | 16 | WWWDL |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 8 | +13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | +4 | 16 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Besiktas | 8 | +6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | +2 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 8 | Erzurumspor FK | 9 | -4 | 14 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 8 | +5 | 13 | WWLWW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Trabzonspor won 1, Besiktas 3, 2 draws; 3.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Besiktas | 1–2 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Trabzonspor | 3–3 | Besiktas | Süper Lig |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Besiktas | 2–1 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Trabzonspor | 1–1 | Besiktas | Süper Lig |
| 23 May 2024 | Besiktas | 3–2 | Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Besiktas | 2–0 | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- Susp.M. KabasakalSuspended
- OutA. BatagovKnee
- OutO. CevikkanTendon
Show 3 more
- OutR. MalinovskyiKnee
- OutP. OnuachuMuscle
- OutO. YokusluKnee
- OutO. KokcuFoot
- OutM. RashicaMuscle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Rest days
- Trabzonspor 4Besiktas 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Trabzonspor 2 · Besiktas 2
- Referee
- Cihan Aydin
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
