Istanbul Basaksehir vs Gaziantep FK prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Istanbul Basaksehir to win: 59%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65% · ✓ 3 goals
In short
Istanbul Basaksehir are favourites at 59%, with Gaziantep FK on 19% and the draw on 22%. Istanbul Basaksehir are 13th and Gaziantep FK 14th in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Istanbul Basaksehir won one and Gaziantep FK one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Istanbul Basaksehir win or draw
- 81%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- Gaziantep FK win or draw
- 41%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 2.2 goals from Istanbul Basaksehir and 1.2 from Gaziantep FK. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 1–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 21% | 19% | Stats preview | #57 | |
| 2 | 57% | 23% | 20% | Updated news and prices | #102 | |
| 3 | 59% | 22% | 19% | Official lineups | #150 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Istanbul Basaksehir: last 6
DWLLDL · 8 scored, 11 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Konyaspor | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Amed | 0–5 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Galatasaray | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Kasımpaşa | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | at Trabzonspor | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WLDWD
Gaziantep FK: last 6
LLDWLW · 6 scored, 9 conceded
| 11 Oct | vs Çorum FK | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Kocaelispor | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Fenerbahçe | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sep | at Göztepe | 4–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Rizespor | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | at Eyüpspor | 1–0 | W |
Last 3 away: LWW
Season stats
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Gaziantep FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 1.57 | Goals conceded per game | 1.43 |
| 2.25 | Scored per game at home | 0.50 |
| 0.33 | Scored per game away | 1.67 |
| 57% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| 43% | Both teams scored | 43% |
| 43% | Clean sheets | 29% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 43% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Erzurumspor FK | 9 | -4 | 14 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 8 | +5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 9 | -2 | 12 | LLDWD |
| 11 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 8 | +0 | 11 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Rizespor | 8 | -3 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Göztepe | 8 | +1 | 9 | WWDDL |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | -3 | 8 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 9 | -13 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 9 | -21 | 3 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Istanbul Basaksehir won 5, Gaziantep FK 1, 0 draws; 3.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Gaziantep FK | 1–2 | Istanbul Basaksehir | Süper Lig |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 5–1 | Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 2–1 | Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Gaziantep FK | 3–0 | Istanbul Basaksehir | Süper Lig |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Gaziantep FK | 0–2 | Istanbul Basaksehir | Süper Lig |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 2–0 | Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutC. OperiNot available
- OutJ. OpokuNot available
- OutF. BavukHamstring
- OutN. SangareBack
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Gaziantep FK
- 850 km
- Rest days
- Istanbul Basaksehir 7Gaziantep FK 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Istanbul Basaksehir 1 · Gaziantep FK 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 14°C · wind 13 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Alpaslan Sen
- Goals in this league
- Süper Lig average: 2.90 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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