Kocaelispor vs Goztepe prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Goztepe 36%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 54% · bookies 53% · ✗ 3 goals
In short
Goztepe are slight favourites at 36%, with Kocaelispor on 34% and the draw on 30%. Kocaelispor are 8th and Goztepe 15th in the Süper Lig. In their last five league games, Kocaelispor won three and Goztepe one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Kocaelispor win or draw
- 64%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- Goztepe win or draw
- 66%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 71%
- 3+ goals
- 46%
- 4+ goals
- 24%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Kocaelispor and 1.3 from Goztepe. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 0–0 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Kocaelispor: last 6
LWLWWW · 8 scored, 4 conceded
| 11 Oct | at Beşiktaş | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Gaziantep FK | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Galatasaray | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Samsunspor | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | at Konyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | vs Amed | 2–0 | W |
Last 3 at home: WWW
Goztepe: last 6
WDDLLL · 12 scored, 12 conceded
| 12 Oct | at Eyüpspor | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Rizespor | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Alanyaspor | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Gaziantep FK | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Galatasaray | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0–1 | L |
Last 4 away: WDLD
Season stats
| Kocaelispor | Goztepe | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.14 | Goals scored per game | 2.14 |
| 0.86 | Goals conceded per game | 2.14 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 2.75 |
| 29% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 86% |
| 29% | Both teams scored | 71% |
| 43% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 29% | Failed to score | 14% |
League matches only, 7 games each.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 8 | +13 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | +4 | 16 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Beşiktaş | 8 | +6 | 15 | LWLWW |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | +2 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 8 | Erzurumspor FK | 9 | -4 | 14 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 8 | +5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 9 | -2 | 12 | LLDWD |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 8 | +0 | 11 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Rizespor | 8 | -3 | 10 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Goztepe | 8 | +1 | 9 | WWDDL |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 9 | -3 | 8 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Gaziantep FK | 9 | -6 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 16 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 9 | -11 | 8 | LLDLL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Kocaelispor won 2, Goztepe 0, 2 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Kocaelispor | 1–1 | Goztepe | Süper Lig |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Goztepe | 0–0 | Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| 3 Apr 2024 | Kocaelispor | 3–2 | Goztepe | 1. Lig |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Goztepe | 0–1 | Kocaelispor | 1. Lig |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutM. HaidaraMuscle
- OutA. JovanovicCoach's decision
- OutB. PetkovicHamstring
Show 1 more
- OutT. ZoukrouMuscle
- OutAllan GodoiInjury
- OutF. BayirNot available
- OutO. BayrakNot available
Show 2 more
- OutL. GugeshashviliNot available
- OutI. SabraAnkle
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Goztepe
- 138 km
- Rest days
- Kocaelispor 6Goztepe 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Kocaelispor 1 · Goztepe 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 13°C · wind 9 km/h
- Rain expected
- Referee
- Alper Akarsu
- Goals in this league
- Süper Lig average: 2.87 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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