Milford FC vs Sekhukhune United prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Milford to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 66%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Milford FC are slight favourites at 42%, with Sekhukhune United on 28% and the draw on 30%. Milford FC are 4th and Sekhukhune United 6th in the South African Premiership. In their last five league games, Milford FC won two and Sekhukhune United two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Milford FC win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- Sekhukhune United win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 61%
- 3+ goals
- 34%
- 4+ goals
- 16%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 41%
- No
- 59%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Milford FC and 0.9 from Sekhukhune United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (15%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 30% | 29% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2046 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Milford FC: last 6
WDWDLD · 7 scored, 4 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Golden Arrows | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Durban City | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Richards Bay | 5–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | at Chippa United | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Sep | at Mamelodi Sundowns | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Aug | at Polokwane City | 0–0 | D |
Last 4 at home: DWWW
Sekhukhune United: last 6
WWWDDL · 9 scored, 7 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Richards Bay League Cup | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Marumo Gallants | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Richards Bay | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Sep | at Stellenbosch | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs TS Galaxy | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | at Orlando Pirates | 0–2 | L |
Last 4 away: WDLL
Season stats
| Milford FC | Sekhukhune United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Goals scored per game | 1.12 |
| 0.78 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 2.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 0.20 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 22% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 44% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 44% | Failed to score | 38% |
League matches only, 9 and 8 games.
South African Premiership table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | +15 | 23 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 8 | +18 | 22 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Amazulu | 8 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Milford FC | 9 | +3 | 15 | WDWDL |
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | +5 | 14 | DDDWD |
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 8 | +1 | 14 | WWDDL |
| 7 | Stellenbosch | 8 | +1 | 10 | DWDDL |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 8 | -1 | 8 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Chippa United | 8 | -3 | 8 | LWDDD |
Match context
- Rest days
- Milford FC 15Sekhukhune United 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Milford FC 0 · Sekhukhune United 1
- Goals in this league
- South African Premiership average: 2.29 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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