Sampdoria vs Arezzo prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Sampdoria to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 53% · bookies 52% · ✗ 3 goals
In short
Sampdoria are favourites at 53%, with Arezzo on 21% and the draw on 26%. Sampdoria are 20th and Arezzo 15th in Serie B. In their last five league games, Sampdoria won one and Arezzo one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Sampdoria win or draw
- 79%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Arezzo win or draw
- 47%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 72%
- 3+ goals
- 47%
- 4+ goals
- 25%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 49%
- No
- 51%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Sampdoria and 0.9 from Arezzo. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 0–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54% | 26% | 21% | Stats preview | #58 | |
| 2 | 50% | 26% | 24% | Updated news and prices | #92 | |
| 3 | 53% | 26% | 21% | Official lineups | #169 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Sampdoria: last 6
LWLLLD · 6 scored, 13 conceded
| 9 Oct | at Avellino | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Catanzaro | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at Mantova | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | at Palermo | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Juve Stabia | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | at Cesena | 1–1 | D |
Last 2 at home: WL
Arezzo: last 6
DLWLLW · 6 scored, 13 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Cremonese | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Sudtirol | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Sep | at Empoli | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | at Hellas Verona | 0–5 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Palermo | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | at Avellino | 2–1 | W |
Last 4 away: WLWL
Season stats
| Sampdoria | Arezzo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.00 |
| 2.17 | Goals conceded per game | 2.17 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 83% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Serie B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | +3 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 7 | +2 | 8 | DLWLW |
| … | |||||
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | -5 | 6 | LLDDD |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | -8 | 5 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | -11 | 4 | LDLLW |
Match context
- Travel for Arezzo
- 194 km
- Rest days
- Sampdoria 8Arezzo 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Sampdoria 1 · Arezzo 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 7 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Andrea Colombo
- Goals in this league
- Serie B average: 2.74 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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