Juve Stabia vs Sudtirol prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Juve Stabia to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 46% · ✓ 3 goals
In short
Juve Stabia are favourites at 48%, with Sudtirol on 23% and the draw on 29%. Juve Stabia are 20th and Sudtirol 5th in Serie B. In their last five league games, Juve Stabia won one and Sudtirol two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Juve Stabia win or draw
- 76%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Sudtirol win or draw
- 52%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 53%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Juve Stabia and 1.1 from Sudtirol. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Juve Stabia: last 6
DDDLWL · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 10 Oct | at Virtus Entella | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Cesena | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Vicenza Virtus | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Pisa | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | at Sampdoria | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | at Palermo | 0–1 | L |
Last 2 at home: DL
Sudtirol: last 6
DWLDWD · 8 scored, 4 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Ascoli | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Arezzo | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | at Genoa Coppa Italia | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Modena | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Catanzaro | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | at Benevento | 1–1 | D |
Last 4 away: WLDD
Season stats
| Juve Stabia | Sudtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 1.33 | Goals conceded per game | 0.50 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 2.50 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 17% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Serie B table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | +8 | 15 | WDDWL |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | +6 | 14 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Pisa | 7 | +5 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | +3 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 8 | Avellino | 8 | +3 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 | Padova | 8 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 10 | Arezzo | 8 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | -4 | 9 | WDLLD |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 7 | +2 | 8 | DLWLW |
| 14 | Juve Stabia | 8 | +1 | 8 −4 | WWDDD |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | -4 | 8 | LDLDD |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | -6 | 7 | LDLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Juve Stabia won 2, Sudtirol 1, 1 draw; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | Sudtirol | 1–1 | Juve Stabia | Serie B |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Juve Stabia | 1–0 | Sudtirol | Serie B |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Sudtirol | 2–0 | Juve Stabia | Serie B |
| 6 Dec 2024 | Juve Stabia | 2–1 | Sudtirol | Serie B |
Match context
- Travel for Sudtirol
- 691 km
- Rest days
- Juve Stabia 8Sudtirol 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Juve Stabia 1 · Sudtirol 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 22°C · wind 8 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Rapuano Andrea
- Goals in this league
- Serie B average: 2.73 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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