Ikorodu City vs Shooting Stars prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Ikorodu to win: 66%, about 2 in 3
Goals call2 goals or fewer 59% · bookies 59% · ✗ 4 goals
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a strong Ikorodu City performance at home. Their attacking metrics and recent form strongly suggest they will control the game, while Shooting Stars face significant challenges away from home. The consensus points towards a home victory with a high likelihood of goals.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Ikorodu City's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersIkorodu City's potent home attack is expected to dominate the proceedings.
Ikorodu averages 1.75 goals at home and concedes only 1.00 per game. Shooting Stars struggle away, scoring 0.80 and conceding 1.33 per match.
Ikorodu: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe match is a clash of mid-table ambitions and recent form.
Ikorodu City sits 9th with 12 points, while Shooting Stars are 15th with 11 points. Both teams have had a similar fixture load, with Ikorodu resting for 7 days.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market appears to correctly price Ikorodu City's home advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head encounters, Ikorodu City secured 2 wins.
Ikorodu: clearly underrated
More goalsMed Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Ikorodu City are clear favourites at 66%, with Shooting Stars on 10% and the draw on 24%. Ikorodu City are 10th and Shooting Stars 15th in the NPFL. In their last five league games, Ikorodu City won two and Shooting Stars one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Ikorodu City win or draw
- 90%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Shooting Stars win or draw
- 34%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 67%
- 3+ goals
- 41%
- 4+ goals
- 21%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 35%
- No
- 65%
We expect about 1.8 goals from Ikorodu City and 0.6 from Shooting Stars. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 3–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 20% | 10% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1115 | |
| 2 | 66% | 24% | 10% | Prices moved | #1439 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Ikorodu City: last 6
LWLDWL · 6 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Niger Tornadoes | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Kwara United | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Rivers United | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | at Sporting Lagos | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Enugu Rangers | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | at Bendel Insurance | 1–2 | L |
Last 4 at home: WWDW
Shooting Stars: last 6
WLDDLL · 5 scored, 8 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Ranchers Bees | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Kun Khalifat FC | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Kano Pillars | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Nasarawa United | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | at Enyimba | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | at Warri Wolves | 0–1 | L |
Last 4 away: LLLL
Season stats
| Ikorodu City | Shooting Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Goals scored per game | 1.11 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.33 |
| 1.75 | Scored per game at home | 1.40 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 44% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| 44% | Both teams scored | 44% |
| 44% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 33% | Failed to score | 44% |
League matches only, 9 games each.
NPFL table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Niger Tornadoes | 10 | +1 | 15 | WWDWL |
| 8 | Kano Pillars | 9 | +1 | 14 | WLDDD |
| 9 | Doma United | 9 | +0 | 14 | DLWLD |
| 10 | Ikorodu City | 10 | +2 | 13 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Katsina United | 10 | -2 | 13 | DLWDD |
| 12 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | +1 | 12 | LWLWL |
| 13 | Kwara United | 10 | +0 | 12 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Shooting Stars | 10 | -2 | 12 | DWLDD |
| 15 | Warri Wolves | 9 | -1 | 11 | DWLLW |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 10 | -4 | 10 | LDDLW |
| 17 | Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | -7 | 9 | DWLWL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Ikorodu City won 2, Shooting Stars 0, 2 draws; 1.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | Ikorodu City | 1–0 | Shooting Stars | NPFL |
| 7 Sep 2025 | Shooting Stars | 1–1 | Ikorodu City | NPFL |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Shooting Stars | 0–0 | Ikorodu City | NPFL |
| 17 Nov 2024 | Ikorodu City | 2–1 | Shooting Stars | NPFL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Ikorodu City 7Shooting Stars 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Ikorodu City 1 · Shooting Stars 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
