Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Atletico-MG to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 57% · bookies 57% · ✓ 2 goals
In short
Atletico-MG are slight favourites at 41%, with Atletico Torque on 28% and the draw on 31%. In their last five matches across all competitions, Atletico Torque won two and Atletico-MG four. The prices point to about 2.4 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Atletico Torque win or draw
- 59%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 69%
- Atletico-MG win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 69%
- 3+ goals
- 42%
- 4+ goals
- 22%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Atletico Torque and 1.3 from Atletico-MG. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–0 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 29% | 39% | Stats preview | #428 | |
| 2 | 29% | 29% | 42% | Prices moved | #442 | |
| 3 | 28% | 31% | 41% | Prices moved | #481 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Atletico Torque: last 6
LLWLWW · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Albion FC Primera División | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | at Atletico-MG | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Cienciano | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | at Cienciano | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Aug | vs Tigre | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Aug | at Tigre | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Atletico-MG: last 6
WWWDWD · 10 scored, 4 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Coritiba Serie A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Atletico Torque | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Santos Serie A | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Oct | at Atletico Paranaense Serie A | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs RB Bragantino Serie A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Chapecoense-sc Serie A | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: DLLDW
Season stats
| Atletico Torque | Atletico-MG | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.64 |
| 0.92 | Goals conceded per game | 1.09 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.33 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 0.80 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 45% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 36% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 18% |
League matches only, 12 and 11 games.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Atletico Torque won 0, Atletico-MG 1, 0 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | Atletico-MG | 3–0 | Atletico Torque | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
Match context
- Rest days
- Atletico Torque 3Atletico-MG 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Atletico Torque 2 · Atletico-MG 4
- Referee
- Cristian Garay
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
