Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
TSG Hoffenheim to win: 45%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 69% · bookies 71% · ✓ 3 goals
In short
TSG Hoffenheim are favourites at 45%, with Borussia Mönchengladbach on 30% and the draw on 25%. Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th and TSG Hoffenheim 17th in the Bundesliga. In their last five league games, Borussia Mönchengladbach won none and TSG Hoffenheim one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Borussia Mönchengladbach win or draw
- 55%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- TSG Hoffenheim win or draw
- 70%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 87%
- 3+ goals
- 69%
- 4+ goals
- 48%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 69%
- No
- 31%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.0 from TSG Hoffenheim. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%), 1–3 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30% | 24% | 46% | Stats preview | #55 | |
| 2 | 30% | 24% | 46% | Updated news and prices | #81 | |
| 3 | 30% | 25% | 45% | Official lineups | #144 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: last 6
LLLLLW · 12 scored, 18 conceded
| 11 Oct | at 1. FC Köln | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs FSV Mainz 05 | 3–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | at SC Freiburg | 0–5 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs SV Elversberg | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | at RB Leipzig | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | at Schott Mainz DFB Pokal | 5–0 | W |
Last 2 at home: LL
TSG Hoffenheim: last 6
LLLLWL · 9 scored, 15 conceded
| 15 Oct | vs Beşiktaş UEFA Europa League | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Hamburger SV | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | at SC Paderborn 07 | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | at OFI UEFA Europa League | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–3 | L |
Last 4 away: LLLW
Season stats
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | Goals scored per game | 1.80 |
| 3.60 | Goals conceded per game | 2.60 |
| 3.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 0.33 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 100% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 100% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 100% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 40% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 5 games each.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1. FC Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 14 | TSG Hoffenheim | 6 | -3 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | FC Schalke 04 | 7 | -3 | 6 | DLLDW |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | -12 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 7 | -11 | 3 | WLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Borussia Mönchengladbach won 3, TSG Hoffenheim 2, 1 draw; 5.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4–0 | TSG Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 14 Jan 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim | 5–1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| 3 May 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4–4 | TSG Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| 21 Dec 2024 | TSG Hoffenheim | 1–2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| 20 Apr 2024 | TSG Hoffenheim | 4–3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| 2 Dec 2023 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2–1 | TSG Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutJ. CastropShoulder
- OutF. FleckMuscle
- OutF. HonoratMuscle
Show 5 more
- OutK. ItakuraAnkle
- OutT. KleindienstMuscle
- OutN. KuhnMuscle
- OutE. LeopoldKnee
- OutJ. LeszczynskiKnee
- Susp.BernardoSuspended
- OutA. HajdariFoot
- OutP. WimmerThigh
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for TSG Hoffenheim
- 276 km
- Rest days
- Borussia Mönchengladbach 7TSG Hoffenheim 2
- Matches in the last 14 days: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 · TSG Hoffenheim 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 11°C · wind 9 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Soren Storks
- Goals in this league
- Bundesliga average: 3.71 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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