Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Red Bull Bragantino to win: 50%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 56% · bookies 56%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
In short
Red Bull Bragantino are favourites at 50%, with Santos on 25% and the draw on 25%. Red Bull Bragantino are 10th and Santos 8th in Brasileirão Série A. In their last five league games, Red Bull Bragantino won one and Santos two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Red Bull Bragantino win or draw
- 75%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Santos win or draw
- 50%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Red Bull Bragantino and 1.2 from Santos. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 1–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48% | 25% | 28% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1771 | |
| 2 | 50% | 25% | 25% | Prices moved | #2176 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Red Bull Bragantino: last 6
LDWDLL · 7 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Palmeiras | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Remo | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs Cruzeiro | 4–2 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Mirassol | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Atletico-MG | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Flamengo | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WDLWL
Santos: last 6
DWLDWW · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Bahia | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Fluminense | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Atletico-MG | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | vs Flamengo | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Oct | at Sao Paulo | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Remo | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WLWWL
Season stats
| Red Bull Bragantino | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Goals scored per game | 1.53 |
| 1.19 | Goals conceded per game | 1.47 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.44 |
| 0.88 | Scored per game away | 1.62 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| 53% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 19% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 9% |
League matches only, 32 games each.
Brasileirão Série A table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 10 | Red Bull Bragantino | 32 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
Match context
- Rest days
- Red Bull Bragantino 9Santos 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Red Bull Bragantino 1 · Santos 1
- Goals in this league
- Brasileirão Série A average: 2.66 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
